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Fiscal Policy and Forecasting Real GDP [PDF]
Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 2021 The macroeconomic effect of changes in tax revenue and government spending influences gross domestic product in an economy. The economic growth depends on real business cycle where fiscal policy takes the central role which is managed by the government ...
Mozaffar A Chowdhury
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Forecasting Real GDP Growth for Africa [PDF]
Econometrics, 2022 We propose a simple and reproducible methodology to create a single equation forecasting model (SEFM) for low-frequency macroeconomic variables. Our methodology is illustrated by forecasting annual real GDP growth rates for 52 African countries, where ...
Philip Hans Franses, Max Welz
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Cluster analysis of Nigerian real GDP
Ianna Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 2021 Background: The Central Bank of Nigeria has itemized Nigerian real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) into the following: crop production, livestock, forestry, fishing, crude petroleum and natural gas, solid minerals, manufacturing, construction, trade ...
Ette Harrison Etuk
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Real GDP, Real GDI, and Trading Gains: Canada, 1981-2005 [PDF]
International Productivity Monitor, 2006 Real gross domestic product (GDP) fails to account for the trading gains and losses that result from changes in the terms of trade and in the real exchange rate (the price of tradables relative to the price of nontradables).
Ulrich Kohli
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Trend and Cycles in U.S. Real GDP [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2001 In this paper an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose U.S. real GDP into trend and cycle components. The main findings are that there exist three cycles with a period of about two, five and 13 years, respectively, and that the long-run development during the last 50 years can be represented by a segmented linear trend with a break in ...
Gebhard Flaig
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Iraqi Journal for Computer Science and Mathematics, 2023 The study examine the long-run relationship between crude oil consumption, real oil price, and real GDP using a quarterly time series from 1993 to 2020.
Aysar Y. Fahad +2 more
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Bank Capital and Real GDP Growth [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020 We study the relationship between bank capital ratios and the distribution of future real GDP growth. Growth in the aggregate bank capital ratio corresponds to a smaller left tail of GDP—smaller crisis probability—but at the cost of a smaller right tail of growth outcomes—smaller probability of exuberant growth.
Boyarchenko, Nina +2 more
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Forecasting New Zealand's real GDP [PDF]
New Zealand Economic Papers, 2000 Recent time series methods are applied to the problem of forecasting New Zealand's real GDP. Model selection is conducted within autoregressive (AR) and vector autoregressive (VAR) classes, allowing for evolution in the form of the models over time. The selections are performed using the Schwarz (1978) BIC and the Phillips‐Ploberger (1996) PIC criteria.
Aaron F. Schiff, Peter C.B. Phillips
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Impact of Economic Growth and Inflationary Pressure on Strikes: The Case of Turkey
Sosyal Siyaset Konferansları Dergisi, 2021 Protecting the social and economic rights of workers, one of the main motivations for the establishment of unions, is an important goal of strike activities. This study analyzed the effect of gross domestic product (GDP) and inflation (among other social
Yasin Yılmaz, Abdullah Miraç Bükey
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Real GDP Per Capita Since 1870 [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012 30 pages, 18 ...
Kitov, Ivan, Kitov, Oleg
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