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Shift in Variance of Real GDP

open access: yesShift in Variance of Real GDP
openaire  

Real-time GDP Growth Forecasts [PDF]

open access: yes, 1997
The authors forecast current-quarter real GDP growth using monthly data that would have been available to an analyst in real time. They demonstrate that using real-time data is of major importance both when estimating GDP forecasting models and when evaluating their performance.
Evan F. Koenig, Sheila Dolmas
openaire   +2 more sources

Tracking World Trade and GDP in Real Time [PDF]

open access: possibleSSRN Electronic Journal, 2013
This paper proposes a simple procedure to obtain monthly assessments of short-run perspectives for quarterly world GDP and trade. It combines emerging and advanced countries’ high frequency information to explain quarterly national accounts variables through bridge models. The union of all bridge equations leads to our world bridge model (WBM). The WBM
GOLINELLI, ROBERTO, Giuseppe Parigi
openaire   +1 more source

Teaching Chain-Weight Real GDP Measures [PDF]

open access: possibleThe Journal of Economic Education, 2003
Abstract In 1996, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) changed the method used to calculate measures of real GDP from a Laspeyres or Paasche index to a Fisher ideal index, also called a chain-weight index. Even though this is a significant change in approach and has resulted in extensive revisions of reported statistics, many authors of intermediate ...
openaire   +1 more source

Systemic risk, real GDP growth, and sentiment

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2021
Using a mixed frequency VAR methodology, which can accommodate variables with different frequencies in a VAR framework, we model the relation between monthly systemic risk and real GDP growth. To identify the importance of business and consumer sentiment in this relation, a Kalman filter approach is adopted to extract the systemic risk-driven sentiment
Angelos Kanas, Panagiotis D. Zervopoulos
openaire   +1 more source

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