DSGE Model Forecasting: Rational Expectations Versus Adaptive Learning
ABSTRACT This paper compares within‐sample and out‐of‐sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets, and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real‐time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4.
Anders Warne
wiley +1 more source
Governing black soils for food and climate security. [PDF]
Liao X +10 more
europepmc +1 more source
Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley +1 more source
Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Conceptual pitfalls in the forest carbon debate : Comment solicited by Prof Yiping (Rocky) Wu, 30 Aug. 2025, revised Dec 2025. [PDF]
Körner C.
europepmc +1 more source
Knowledge sourcing, geopolitics, and FDI: An empirical analysis on the US green and digital sectors
Abstract Research Summary This paper examines how foreign direct investment (FDI) shapes firms' sourcing of knowledge in the digital and green domains under rising geopolitical frictions. We assemble a firm–country dyadic panel (2013–2020) linking US patent backward citations to firms' FDI, enriched with bilateral geopolitical distance and host‐country
Alberto Maria Radici
wiley +1 more source
Exploring the factors influencing loss to follow up among patients living with HIV& AIDS on antiretroviral therapy in the Northern Region of Ghana: a qualitative study. [PDF]
Najawa M +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Understanding the Symptom Burden of Complex Skull Base Tumors From the Patient's Perspective
ABSTRACT Background Symptom burden of skull base tumor (SBT) patients, especially those undergoing multimodality treatment, is poorly understood. We aim to understand symptom burden in this patient group using the core module the MD Anderson Symptom Inventory (MDASI).
Shirley Y. Su +8 more
wiley +1 more source
Exploring Perceived Utility of a Clinic-Integrated HIV Prevention App for Men Who Have Sex With Men in Malaysia: A Qualitative Think-Aloud Study. [PDF]
Sujan MSH +10 more
europepmc +1 more source

