Results 121 to 130 of about 153,055 (297)
A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Market Interconnectedness
ABSTRACT While the existing research uncovers interconnections between various housing markets, it largely ignores the question of whether such linkages can improve house price predictions. To address this issue, we proceed in two steps. First, we forecast disaggregated house price growth rates from Australia and China to determine whether ...
Zac Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Regime‐Dependent Nowcasting of the Austrian Economy
ABSTRACT We nowcast and forecast economic activity in Austria, namely, real gross domestic product (GDP), consumption, and investment, which are available at a quarterly frequency, using a preselected number of monthly indicators based on a combination of statistical procedures.
Jaroslava Hlouskova, Ines Fortin
wiley +1 more source
Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums
ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley +1 more source
Dynamic Parameter Identification of a Hip Exoskeleton Using RLS-GA
Lower-limb exoskeletons require accurate dynamic models to achieve stable and compliant human–robot interactions. However, least-squares-based identification often relies on demanding experiments and may yield limited accuracy for exoskeletons with non ...
Wentao Sheng +4 more
doaj +1 more source
The Role of Price‐Volatility Cojumps in Volatility Forecasting
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether simultaneous jumps in prices and volatility improve volatility forecasting. Using up‐to‐date high‐frequency S&P 500 and VIX data, we identify price‐volatility cojumps at the intraday granularity and construct upside, downside, and asymmetric measures.
Kefu Liao
wiley +1 more source
In order to select the optimal tracking of fast time variation of multipath fast time variation Rayleigh fading channel, this paper focuses on the recursive least-squares (RLS) and Extended recursive least-squares (E-RLS) algorithms and reaches the ...
Ali Salah Mahdi
doaj
Why Do Hedgers Hedge? The Role of Ambiguity
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether ambiguity influences hedging behavior in commodity futures markets. Using high‐frequency crude oil futures data, distinct measures of risk and ambiguity are linked to weekly hedging positions from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Fiona Höllmann
wiley +1 more source
Robust Non-Linear Active Function-Based FxRLS for Impulsive Active Noise Control
Active Noise Control (ANC) is an effective technique for removing undesirable disturbances based on destructive interference between two noises (i.e., the superposition principle).
Suman Turpati +9 more
doaj +1 more source

