Results 241 to 250 of about 76,485 (317)

Threshold MIDAS Forecasting of Canadian Inflation Rate

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose several threshold mixed data sampling (TMIDAS) autoregressive models to forecast the Canadian inflation rate using predictors observed at different frequencies. These models take two low‐frequency variables and a high‐frequency index as threshold variables.
Chaoyi Chen, Yiguo Sun, Yao Rao
wiley   +1 more source

Scaling‐Aware Rating of Poisson‐Limited Demand Forecasts

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast quality should be assessed in the context of what is possible in theory and what is reasonable to expect in practice. Often, one can identify an approximate upper bound to a probabilistic forecast's sharpness, which sets a lower, not necessarily achievable, limit to error metrics.
Malte C. Tichy   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Testing the Social Investment Principle Around Childbirth: Little Evidence for Personality Maturation Before and After Becoming a Parent

open access: yesEuropean Journal of Personality, EarlyView., 2020
Abstract In line with the social investment principle, becoming a parent should lead to more mature behaviour and an increase in conscientiousness, agreeableness, and emotional stability. However, previous research provided mixed results that do not support this idea.
Eva Asselmann   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Fuzzy Framework for Realized Volatility Prediction: Empirical Evidence From Equity Markets

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This study introduces a realized volatility fuzzy time series (RV‐FTS) model that applies a fuzzy c‐means clustering algorithm to estimate time‐varying c$$ c $$ latent volatility states and their corresponding membership degrees. These memberships are used to construct a fuzzified volatility estimate as a weighted average of cluster centroids.
Shafqat Iqbal, Štefan Lyócsa
wiley   +1 more source

A Comparison of Realized Measures of Integrated Volatility: Price Duration‐ vs. Return‐Based Approaches

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We study the accuracy of a variety of parametric price duration‐based realized variance estimators constructed via various financial duration models and compare their forecasting performance with the performance of various nonparametric return‐based realized variance estimators.
Björn Schulte‐Tillmann   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Do Prices Matter for Healthcare Accessibility? Evidence From a Means‐Tested Complementary Health Insurance in France

open access: yesHealth Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In France, the Couverture Maladie Universelle Complémentaire (CMU‐C) scheme is a means‐tested, state‐financed, complementary health insurance program that fully covers healthcare. Using administrative claims data and a staggered difference‐in‐differences approach, we estimate the impact of enrollment in the program on healthcare utilization ...
Benoît Carré   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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