Results 131 to 140 of about 766,574 (249)

The declarations of independents: Open‐ended survey responses and the nature of non‐identification

American Journal of Political Science, EarlyView.
Abstract While many Americans identify as politically “independent,” conventional wisdom suggests most are covert partisans, especially “leaners.” However, we argue that independents exhibit distinct attitudes toward political parties. Analyzing American National Election Studies open‐ended responses from 1984 to 2020, we employ structural topic models
Maxwell B. Allamong, Benjamin Beutel, Jongwoo Jeong, Paul M. Kellstedt   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Why are surveys struggling to estimate vote shares?

American Journal of Political Science, EarlyView.
Abstract Polling in the 2020 US presidential elections significantly underestimated Trump support, calling into question the accuracy of all political surveys. Although many have speculated that this bias is due to Trump supporters refusing to respond to surveys, we have previously lacked the data to directly evaluate this theory.
Matthew Tyler, D. Sunshine Hillygus, Matthew DeBell, Ted Brader, Shanto Iyengar, Daron Shaw, Nicholas A. Valentino   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

Experience and self‐interest: Diverging responses to global warming

American Journal of Political Science, EarlyView.
Abstract People are increasingly feeling global warming's effects through extreme heat and natural disasters. How do these climate shocks affect political attitudes? We argue that the effect of climate‐related experiences depends significantly on self‐interest.
Alexander F. Gazmararian, Helen V. Milner   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Breadwinner backlash: The gendered effects of industrial decline

American Journal of Political Science, EarlyView.
Abstract Low‐skilled men have long been vulnerable to globalization, decarbonization, and other forms of economic disruption. When shocks are realized, women often increase their paid labor to compensate for men's loss of income. We study how layoffs of low‐skilled men and concurrent shifts in workforce composition toward women affect voting.
Richard Clark, Roza Khoban, Noah Zucker
wiley   +1 more source

Why the Republican Party should pray for rain this November [PDF]

, 2018
Conventional wisdom suggests that bad weather benefits the Republican Party because it lowers turnout in general, but particularly among the Democrats.
Horiuchi, Yusaku, Kang, Woo Chang
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Partisan bias in a sorted party system: A problem of epistemic inequality

American Journal of Political Science, EarlyView.
Abstract Normative and empirical scholars typically treat partisans’ distrust of their political rivals as a product of individual cognitive biases. But even if bias is inevitable, it is parties’ coalition‐building and messaging strategies that determine who bias is directed toward.
Justin Pottle
wiley   +1 more source

With the Rise of Right‐Wing Governments, Why a One‐Time “50% Health Tax” Will Be a Hard Sell and How It Could Be Implemented

Community Dentistry and Oral Epidemiology, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Recent calls from the World Health Organization (WHO) to globally impose a one‐time tax, labelled as “Health tax”, on tobacco, alcohol and sugar sweetened beverages (SSBs) aim to achieve a 50% retail price increase to reduce consumption and improve health outcomes.
Hazem Abbas, Maha El Tantawi, Manami Hoshi‐Harada, Kenji Takeuchi, Ken Osaka, Carol C. Guarnizo‐Herreño, Marco A. Peres   +6 more
wiley   +1 more source

The economic effect of discrimination: Evidence from the restaurant sector

Contemporary Economic Policy, Volume 43, Issue 2, Page 226-259, April 2025.
Abstract Discrimination often leads to economic consequences for affected groups. This study examines the economic impact of consumer discrimination on Chinese restaurants in the U.S. during the COVID‐19 pandemic's onset. Using cell phone data and revenue records, it identifies a significant −10% relative decline in visits to Chinese restaurants by ...
Guanting Yi
wiley   +1 more source

The many prices of war and occupation: Black markets and the cost‐of‐living index in France, 1938–1949

The Economic History Review, EarlyView.
Abstract When studying French prices between 1938 and 1949, economists and historians face a paradox: whilst a vast black market shaped daily life, official indices recorded only state‐controlled prices. This article addresses the issue by introducing a new consumer price index that incorporates both official and black market prices.
Patrice Baubeau, Matéo Teixeira
wiley   +1 more source

[News Clip: Republican Party (Dallas)]

, 1964
Video footage from the WBAP-TV television station in Fort Worth, Texas, to accompany a news story about the Dallas County Republican Convention held at the Memorial Auditorium in Dallas ...
WBAP-TV (Television station : Fort Worth, Tex.)
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