Results 81 to 90 of about 445,041 (90)
Do Inflation-linked Bonds Contain Information about Future Inflation? [PDF]
There is a widespread belief that inflation-linked bonds are a direct source of information about inflation expectations. In this paper we address this issue by analyzing the relationship between break-even inflation (the difference between nominal and ...
José Valentim Machado Vicente +1 more
core
Characterizing the Brazilian Term Structure of Interest Rates [PDF]
This paper studies the Brazilian term structure of interest rates and characterizes how the term premia has changed over time. We employ a Kalman filter approach, which is extended to take into account regime switches and overlapping forecasts errors ...
Benjamin M. Tabak, Osmani T. Guillen
core
Forecasting Interest Rates: an application for Brazil [PDF]
Understanding the links between long and short-term interest rates is crucial for monetary policy makers, since Central Banks decide and set short-term interest rates in order to affect indirectly long-term interest rates, which affects aggregate ...
Benjamin M. Tabak +2 more
core
Financial Instability and Credit Constraint: Evidence from the Cost of Bank Financing [PDF]
This paper examines the relation between the degree of firms’ financial constraint and the observed rise in the cost of bank financing during the global financial crisis of 2008.
Bruno S. Martins
core
Term Structure Movements Implicit in Option Prices [PDF]
This paper analyzes how including options in the estimation of a dynamic term structure model impacts the way it captures term structure movements. Two versions of a multi-factor Gaussian model are compared: One adopting only bonds data, and the other ...
Caio Ibsen R. Almeida +1 more
core
Does Curvature Enhance Forecasting? [PDF]
In this paper, we analyze the importance of curvature term structure movements on forecasts of interest rate means. An extension of the exponential three-factor Diebold and Li (2006) model is proposed, where a fourth factor captures a second type of ...
André Leite +3 more
core
Evaluation of Default Risk for The Brazilian Banking Sector [PDF]
This paper employs new methods to measure and monitor risk in the Brazilian banking sector. We prove that the option-based risk measure is negatively sensitive to interest rates.
Benjamin M. Tabak, Marcelo Y. Takami
core
Inflation Targeting, Credibility and Confidence Crises [PDF]
We study the interplay between the central bank transparency, its credibility, and the inflation target level. Based on a model developed in the spirit of the global games literature, we argue that whenever a weak central bank adopts a high degree of ...
Aloisio Araujo, Rafael Santos
core
Forecasting Bonds Yields in the Brazilian Fixed Income Market [PDF]
This paper studies the predictive ability of a variety of models in forecasting the yield curve for the Brazilian fixed income market. We compare affine term structure models with a variation of the Nelson-Siegel exponential framework developed by ...
Benjamin M. Tabak, Jose Vicente
core
Expansão potencial da cultura do sorgo granífero no Brasil considerando o zoneamento de risco climático. [PDF]
, 2012 CARVALHO, K. S. de +4 more
core