Results 11 to 20 of about 66,591 (332)

Estimating Ruin Probability in an Insurance Risk Model with Stochastic Premium Income Based on the CFS Method

open access: yesMathematics, 2021
This paper considers the estimation of ruin probability in an insurance risk model with stochastic premium income. We first show that the ruin probability can be approximated by the complex Fourier series (CFS) expansion method.
Yujuan Huang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Ruin probabilities as functions of the roots of a polynomial

open access: yesModern Stochastics: Theory and Applications, 2023
A new formula for the ultimate ruin probability in the Cramér–Lundberg risk process is provided when the claims are assumed to follow a finite mixture of m Erlang distributions.
David J. Santana, Luis Rincón
doaj   +1 more source

Upper Bounds and Explicit Formulas for the Ruin Probability in the Risk Model with Stochastic Premiums and a Multi-Layer Dividend Strategy

open access: yesMathematics, 2020
This paper is devoted to the investigation of the ruin probability in the risk model with stochastic premiums where dividends are paid according to a multi-layer dividend strategy.
Olena Ragulina, Jonas Šiaulys
doaj   +1 more source

Modelling forest ruin due to climate hazards [PDF]

open access: yesEarth System Dynamics, 2021
Estimating the risk of forest collapse due to extreme climate events is one of the challenges of adapting to climate change. We adapt a concept from ruin theory, which is widely used in econometrics and the insurance industry, to design a growth–ruin ...
P. Yiou, N. Viovy
doaj   +1 more source

Fourier/Laplace Transforms and Ruin Probabilities [PDF]

open access: yesASTIN Bulletin, 2002
AbstractIn this paper we use Fourier/Laplace transforms to evaluate numerically relevant probabilities in ruin theory as an application to insurance. The transform of a function is split in two: the real and the imaginary parts. We use an inversion formula based on the real part only, to get the original function.By using an appropriate algorithm to ...
Lima, Fátima D. E.   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Ruin Probability for Stochastic Flows of Financial Contract under Phase-Type Distribution

open access: yesRisks, 2020
This paper examines the impact of the parameters of the distribution of the time at which a bank’s client defaults on their obligated payments, on the Lundberg adjustment coefficient, the upper and lower bounds of the ruin probability.
Franck Adékambi, Kokou Essiomle
doaj   +1 more source

General bounds on ruin probabilities [PDF]

open access: yesInsurance: Mathematics and Economics, 1986
In this contribution we consider general bounds ruin probabilities when the claim severity distribution is not exponentially bounded, but in case the moments of the distribution up to a certain order, say r, exist.
R. Kaas, M.J. Goovaerts
openaire   +2 more sources

On the accuracy of phase-type approximations of heavy-tailed risk models [PDF]

open access: yes, 2012
Numerical evaluation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model is an important problem. If claim sizes are heavy-tailed, then such evaluations are challenging.
Adan, Ivo J. B. F.   +3 more
core   +7 more sources

Ruin probability in finite time [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
In examining the nature of the risk associated with a portfolio of business, it is often of interest to assess how the portfolio may be expected to perform over an extended period of time. One approach involves the use of ruin theory (Panjer and Willmot, 1992).
Krzysztof Burnecki, Marek Teuerle
openaire   +1 more source

Asymptotically Normal Estimators of the Ruin Probability for Lévy Insurance Surplus from Discrete Samples

open access: yesRisks, 2019
A statistical inference for ruin probability from a certain discrete sample of the surplus is discussed under a spectrally negative Lévy insurance risk.
Yasutaka Shimizu, Zhimin Zhang
doaj   +1 more source

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