Results 101 to 110 of about 5,760 (260)

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos, Thierry Betti, Theophilos Papadimitriou, Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard, Periklis Gogas   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Theories of war in practice: possible outcomes and means for the termination of war. Case study: Russian war against Ukraine

Social Development & Security
Purpose: is to anticipate the termination of the Russia-Ukraine war considering the underlying causes on the basis of main war termination theories. Method: comparative analysis, and synthesis.
Khayal Iskandarov, Piotr Gawliczek, Vagif Dadashzade   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Russia-Ukraine war disproportionately threatens the nutrition security of developing countries. [PDF]

Discov Sustain, 2022
Deng Z, Li C, Wang Z, Kang P, Hu Y, Pan H, Liu G.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley   +1 more source

The Russia-Ukraine War or Peace?

Abstract This chapter examines the likely outcome of the Russia-Ukraine war and whether this war could have been prevented or resolved peacefully. It analyzes a peace deal framework agreement between Ukraine and Russia that was close to being finalized in spring 2022.
openaire   +1 more source

On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi, Francesco Roccazzella, Athanasios Triantafyllou   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Analysis of The Impact of The Russia-Ukraine War on Finland's Policy Using the Neorealism Perspective

Journal of Islamic World and Politics
The Russia-Ukraine war has changed Northern European security, threatening Finland's national security. War has a systemic impact not only on the conflicting nations but also on the security of other nations.
Novi Rizka Amalia, ‘Azzam El Zahidin, Dwi Ardiyanti   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The dynamic network of industries in US stock market: Evidence of GFC, COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine war. [PDF]

Heliyon, 2023
Choi SY.
europepmc   +1 more source

Why Do Hedgers Hedge? The Role of Ambiguity

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether ambiguity influences hedging behavior in commodity futures markets. Using high‐frequency crude oil futures data, distinct measures of risk and ambiguity are linked to weekly hedging positions from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Fiona Höllmann
wiley   +1 more source

Concerns about academic freedom caused by the Russia-Ukraine War. [PDF]

EMBO Rep, 2022
Delardas O, Kechagias KS, Katsikas Triantafyllidis K, Giannos P.   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source