Results 121 to 130 of about 27,805 (244)

Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley   +1 more source

Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD)

open access: yesIndian Journal of Psychiatric Nursing, 2014
openaire   +2 more sources

Predictability of North Pacific blocking events: Analogue‐based analysis of historical MIROC6 simulations

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The predictability of western and eastern North Pacific blocking events is assessed using analogue‐based diagnostics. Eastern blocks exhibit lower predictability, characterized by faster error growth and higher mean logarithmic divergence rates. The study highlights geographical contrasts in blocking stability.
Anupama K. Xavier   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Operational all‐sky assimilation of geostationary infrared water‐vapour channels in the regional ICON‐D2 model with an ensemble Kalman filter

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Though many studies have shown potential benefit in assimilating all‐sky infrared radiances from geostationary satellites, at numerical weather prediction centres it is still common practice to assimilate clear‐sky radiances. We present the operationalization of the all‐sky assimilation of the spinning enhanced visible and infrared imager (SEVIRI ...
Annika Schomburg   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Using a causal effect network approach to quantify the impact of ENSO teleconnections on summer monsoon precipitation over the Himalayas and key regional circulations

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We quantified the causal effect (CE) of linkages between four monthly climate indices ENSO, SMHP, RWC, and MHC for 1940–2022 with a time lag of one month. The results show CE values from (1) ENSO to SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$ -0.44 $$ (i.e., a one standard deviation (SD) increase in ENSO causes a decrease in SMHP of −0.33$$ -0.33 $$ to −0.44$$
Grzegorz Muszynski   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Exceptionally poor and good medium‐range forecasts of the large‐scale circulation over Europe in ERA5 reforecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study investigates year‐round exceptionally poor and good day‐6 forecasts of the 500‐hPa geopotential height field over Europe using 45 years of ERA5 reforecasts and applies a weather regime perspective to analyse large‐scale pattern evolution and regime transitions.
Seraphine Hauser   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

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