Results 171 to 180 of about 122,957 (282)

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley   +1 more source

Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley   +1 more source

Fractional dynamics and optical soliton propagation in mono-mode fibers via the Fokas system. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Iqbal N   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Operating Capacity, Pricing and Supply Elasticity in Container Shipping Markets

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We investigate the channels through which changes in operating capacity influence freight rates in the container shipping market using a novel dataset to create an operating capacity index at the shipping‐route level. Our analysis reveals that when supply elasticity is low, an increase in operating capacity tends to drive freight rates upward,
Cong Sui   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Revisiting the Nexus Between Trade Liberalisation and Income Inequality: The Case of Sub‐Saharan African Countries

open access: yesInternational Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the impact of trade liberalisation on income inequality across 24 Sub‐Saharan African (SSA) countries from 2000 to 2020. Using IV‐Tobit and 2SLS models, we consistently find that greater trade openness significantly exacerbates inequality in the region. Critically, we document an inverted U‐shaped relationship between trade
Guivis Zeufack Nkemgha   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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