Results 221 to 230 of about 5,593 (253)

Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley   +1 more source

Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley   +1 more source

Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Two‐Dimensional Layered Oxides and the Two‐Dimensionalization of Bulk Oxides for Post‐Moore Information Devices

open access: yesInformation &Functional Materials, EarlyView.
This review systematically summarizes two‐dimensional layered and nonlayered oxides, focusing on their synthesis, properties, and post‐Moore applications in transistors, gate dielectrics, optoelectronics, and ferroelectric/magnetic devices. It also discusses challenges including scalable growth and interface engineering, along with future industrial ...
Xinjie Hou   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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