Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time
ABSTRACT This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the forecastability of the real price of natural gas in the United States at the monthly frequency considering a universe of models that differ in complexity and economic content. We find that considerable reductions in mean‐squared prediction error relative to a no‐change benchmark can be ...
Christiane Baumeister +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Composite shock indices with age, GCS, and SpO2 for trauma triage outcomes: a retrospective cohort study. [PDF]
Torabi M +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling With Hemisphere Neural Networks
ABSTRACT We revisit maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for macroeconomic density forecasting through a novel neural network architecture with dedicated mean and variance hemispheres. Our architecture features several key ingredients making MLE work in this context.
Philippe Goulet Coulombe +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Effects of Laser Shock Processing on the Mechanical Properties of 6061-T6 Aluminium Alloy Using Nanosecond and Picosecond Laser Pulses. [PDF]
Arredondo Bravo MG +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
Optimizing Detection Schemes for Broadband Pump‐Probe Microscopy
Small spot sizes and broadband spectral coverage create unusual noise challenges for broadband pump‐probe microscopy. Analysis of probe and detector noise characteristics can provide strategies for mitigating these challenges. ABSTRACT Although similar to more commonly implemented single wavelength approaches, broadband pump‐probe or transient ...
Kendall Benton +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Effect of Laser Shock Peening Times on Low-Cycle Fatigue Properties and Fracture Mechanism of Additive TA15 Titanium Alloy. [PDF]
Pei X, Wang S, Xu Z, Gu Z, Peng Y, Li P.
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT Amphibians are the most threatened vertebrate class globally. Climate change, agrochemicals, and/or pathogens and parasites are implicated in contributing to amphibian declines, either singly or in combination. We investigated individual and combined effects of elevated temperatures and atrazine (2.0 μg/L) on Lithobates [formerly Rana] pipiens
Melody J. Gavel +7 more
wiley +1 more source
Observational Study of Sublingual Microcirculation in Patients With Chronic Cardiovascular Disease. [PDF]
Niculcea J +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Abstract Background Hospitalized patients often experience poor sleep, which is associated with worse health outcomes, increased rates of delirium, and readmissions. Objective To improve overnight sleep for clinically stable general neurology patients at a single academic center.
Noor F. Shaik +19 more
wiley +1 more source
Finite Element Simulation of the Laser Shock Peening Process on 304L Stainless Steel. [PDF]
Wakchaure MB, Misra M, Menezes PL.
europepmc +1 more source

