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Approximation of the infection-age-structured SIR model by the conventional SIR model of infectious disease epidemiology [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Epidemiology
During the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, the effective reproduction number (R-eff) has frequently been used to describe the course of the pandemic. Analytical properties of R-eff are rarely studied.
Ralph Brinks, Annika Hoyer
doaj   +2 more sources

A simple modification to the classical SIR model to estimate the proportion of under-reported infections using case studies in flu and COVID-19 [PDF]

open access: yesInfectious Disease Modelling
Background: Under-reporting and, thus, uncertainty around the true incidence of health events is common in all public health reporting systems. While the problem of under-reporting is acknowledged in epidemiology, the guidance and methods available for ...
Leonid Kalachev   +2 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Fractional stochastic sır model

open access: yesResults in Physics, 2021
Stochastic and fractional differentiation have been developed independently to depicting processes following randomness and power, a declining memory and passage from one process to another respectively.
Badr Saad T. Alkahtani, Ilknur Koca
doaj   +1 more source

Nodes’ Ranking Model Based on Influence Prediction [PDF]

open access: yesJisuanji kexue, 2023
The ranking of nodes’ influence has always been a hot issue in the research area of complex networks.Susceptible-infected-recovered(SIR) model is an ideal nodes’ influence ranking method,which is commonly used to evaluate other nodes’ in-fluence ranking ...
DUAN Shunran, YIN Meijuan, LIU Fenlin, JIAO Longlong, YU Lanlan
doaj   +1 more source

A Study on Predicting the Outbreak of COVID-19 in the United Arab Emirates: A Monte Carlo Simulation Approach

open access: yesMathematics, 2022
According to the World Health Organization updates, the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) caused a pandemic between 2019 and 2022, with millions of confirmed cases and deaths worldwide.
Noor Alkhateeb   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

An uncertain SIR rumor spreading model

open access: yesAdvances in Difference Equations, 2021
In this paper, an uncertain SIR (spreader, ignorant, stifler) rumor spreading model driven by one Liu process is formulated to investigate the influence of perturbation in the transmission mechanism of rumor spreading.
Hang Sun, Yuhong Sheng, Qing Cui
doaj   +1 more source

A Mathematical Model of Epidemics—A Tutorial for Students

open access: yesMathematics, 2020
This is a tutorial for the mathematical model of the spread of epidemic diseases. Beginning with the basic mathematics, we introduce the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model.
Yutaka Okabe, Akira Shudo
doaj   +1 more source

Incorporating global dynamics to improve the accuracy of disease models: Example of a COVID-19 SIR model.

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2022
Mathematical models of infectious diseases exhibit robust dynamics, such as stable endemic, disease-free equilibriums or convergence of the solutions to periodic epidemic waves.
Hadeel AlQadi, Majid Bani-Yaghoub
doaj   +1 more source

The rhythmic coupling of Egr-1 and Cidea regulates age-related metabolic dysfunction in the liver of male mice

open access: yesNature Communications, 2023
Many transcriptomic pathways in the liver show circadian rhythms, which have been reported to be disrupted in aged mice. Here the authors report that the expression of transcription factor Egr-1 decreases and its rhythm is shifted with age in the liver ...
Jing Wu   +12 more
doaj   +1 more source

An epidemic model for correlated information diffusion in crowd intelligence networks [PDF]

open access: yesInternational Journal of Crowd Science, 2019
Purpose – With the popularity of the internet and the increasing numbers of netizens, tremendous information flows are generated daily by the intelligently interconnected individuals.
Yuejiang Li, H. Vicky Zhao, Yan Chen
doaj   +1 more source

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