Results 121 to 130 of about 9,169 (255)

Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant, Matus Mrazik, Steve Satchell   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley   +1 more source

Nowcasting World Trade With Machine Learning: A Three‐Step Approach

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree‐based methods (random forest and gradient boosting) and their linear‐regression‐based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest and gradient boosting—linear). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform not only the tree‐based techniques ...
Menzie Chinn, Baptiste Meunier, Sebastian Stumpner   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Creation of a Landslide Susceptibility Map Using Short‐Term Data From the July 2018 Heavy Rainfall in Southern Hiroshima Prefecture

Geological Journal, EarlyView.
This work advances landslide susceptibility mapping by incorporating short‐term trigger data with landscape susceptibility mapping. We also examine the importance of downsampling, watershed delineation and geospatial correlations in evaluating outcomes.
Kanta Kotsugi, Ting Liu, Toshiro Hata, Rebecca Muenich   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Computer‐Aided Diagnosis in the Evaluation of Thyroid Nodules: A Study of Intra‐ And Inter‐Rater Reliability and Agreement

Head &Neck, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Objective To evaluate the intra‐ and inter‐rater reliability of a computer‐aided diagnosis system applied to thyroid nodule assessment. Methods This prospective, single‐center study included 150 thyroid nodules evaluated by two physicians at two time points, 90 days apart.
Leonardo de Souza Piber, Luis Carlos Uta Nakano, Carolina Dutra Queiroz Flumignan, Ronald Luiz Gomes Flumignan   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Risk Forecasting in Shipping Exchange‐Traded‐Fund (ETF) Markets

International Journal of Finance &Economics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This article examines the risk properties of freight‐derivative‐based exchange‐traded funds (ETFs), focusing on the Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF (BDRY), and evaluates the accuracy of Value‐at‐Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) forecasts across a range of econometric models.
Christos Katris, Manolis G. Kavussanos, Stergiani (Stella) A. Moysiadou   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Deep learning‐based prediction of cervical lymph node metastasis and genetic alterations from whole‐slide images of thyroid cancer frozen sections

Interdisciplinary Medicine, EarlyView.
Deep learning models accurately predict cervical lymph node metastasis and key genetic mutations (BRAF/TERT) directly from thyroid cancer frozen sections. This AI‐driven pipeline provides a rapid real‐time tool to guide intraoperative surgical decisions, helping to optimize surgical extent and prevent both over‐ and under‐treatment without the need for
Mingxing Qiu, Jinbang Li, Shujing Guo, Danyi Li, Chengyu Lu, Chenglong Zhao, Jiankun He, Hanxi Wang, Qiao Bai, Aihetaimu Aimaier, Zhijian Cen, Rui Mao, Zimo Ye, Jiaxue Zang, Zhining Zhuo, Lijuan Qu, Yueping Liu, Jing Cui, Xiaohong Yao, Xiuwu Bian, Li Liang   +20 more
wiley   +1 more source

Machine Learning‐Based Estimation of Reference Evapotranspiration and Crop Coefficients for Wheat Under Diverse Climatic Conditions

Irrigation and Drainage, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET0) and crop coefficients (Kc) is critical for irrigation planning, particularly in data‐limited regions where agriculture dominates freshwater consumption. Although machine learning (ML) methods have been widely applied to ET0 and Kc estimation, most studies address these parameters ...
Ilker Angin, Hasan Er, Mete Yaganoglu, Muhammed Sungur Demir, Abdullah Muratoglu   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bioluminescence of the heterotrophic dinoflagellate Polykrikos kofoidii Chatton 1914 (Dinophyceae). [PDF]

J Phycol
Latz MI, Deheyn DD, Sprecher BN.
europepmc   +1 more source

Adjusting for cultural effects on countries’ education policy efficiency:an application of conditional full frontiers measures

In this paper using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) we evaluate the influence of national culture on education policy efficiency for 20 OECD countries.
Halkos, George, Tzeremes, Nickolaos
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