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A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including forecasts for cycle 24. The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory.
Kristóf Petrovay
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The solar cycle is reviewed. The 11-year cycle of solar activity is characterized by the rise and fall in the numbers and surface area of sunspots. A number of other solar activity indicators also vary in association with the sunspots including; the 10.7
David H. Hathaway
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Forecasting the number of sunspots for solar cycle 25 utilizing the facebook prophet model [PDF]
The solar cycle, also referred to as the solar magnetic activity cycle, represents a nearly periodic change in solar activity occurring approximately every 11 years, as evidenced by the observation of sunspot numbers.
H. I. Abdel Rahman, W. A. Badawy
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Prediction of the amplitude of solar cycle 25 using polar faculae observations
Based on the monthly number of polar faculae, a forecast of the amplitude of solar cycle 25 (SC25) is provided, as well as a prediction of the number of solar flares.
Janssens Jan
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An Updated Solar Cycle 25 Prediction With AFT: The Modern Minimum
Over the last decade there has been mounting evidence that the strength of the Sun's polar magnetic fields during a solar cycle minimum is the best predictor of the amplitude of the next solar cycle.
Lisa A. Upton, David H. Hathaway
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SuryaBench: Benchmark Dataset for Advancing Machine Learning in Heliophysics and Space Weather Prediction [PDF]
This paper introduces a high resolution, machine learning-ready heliophysics dataset derived from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), specifically designed to advance machine learning (ML) applications in solar physics and space weather forecasting.
Sujit Roy +24 more
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Prediction of even and odd sunspot cycles
Here we study the prediction of even and odd numbered sunspot cycles separately, thereby taking into account the Hale cyclicity of solar magnetism. We first show that the temporal evolution and shape of all sunspot cycles are extremely well-described by ...
Asikainen Timo, Mantere Jani
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Geomagnetic activity recurrences for predicting the amplitude and shape of solar cycle n. 25
Predicting solar activity is one of the most challenging topics among the various Space Weather and Space Climate issues. In the last decades, the constant enhancement of Space Climate data improved the comprehension of the related physical phenomena and
Diego Piero, Laurenza Monica
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Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Using N-BEATS
Solar activities lead to Sun variation with an 11 yr periodicity. The periodic variation affects space weather and heliophysics research. So it is important to accurately predict solar cycle variations. In this paper, we predicted the ongoing Solar Cycle
Xu Su +4 more
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A critical evaluation of decadal solar cycle imprints in the MiKlip historical ensemble simulations [PDF]
Studies concerning solar–terrestrial connections over the last decades claim to have found evidence that the quasi-decadal solar cycle can have an influence on the dynamics in the middle atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) during the winter season.
T. C. Spiegl +3 more
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