Results 1 to 10 of about 10,876 (155)
Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 2010 A review of solar cycle prediction methods and their performance is given, including forecasts for cycle 24. The review focuses on those aspects of the solar cycle prediction problem that have a bearing on dynamo theory.
Kristóf Petrovay
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Forecasting the number of sunspots for solar cycle 25 utilizing the facebook prophet model [PDF]
Scientific ReportsThe solar cycle, also referred to as the solar magnetic activity cycle, represents a nearly periodic change in solar activity occurring approximately every 11 years, as evidenced by the observation of sunspot numbers.
H. I. Abdel Rahman, W. A. Badawy
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A Dynamo-Based Prediction of Solar Cycle 25 [PDF]
Solar Physics, 2021 15 pages, 4 ...
Jie Jiang
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Towards an algebraic method of solar cycle prediction [PDF]
Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 2020 An algebraic method for the reconstruction and potentially prediction of the solar dipole moment value at sunspot minimum (known to be a good predictor of the amplitude of the next solar cycle) was suggested in the first paper in this series.
Nagy Melinda +3 more
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An Updated Solar Cycle 25 Prediction With AFT: The Modern Minimum
Geophysical Research Letters, 2018 Over the last decade there has been mounting evidence that the strength of the Sun's polar magnetic fields during a solar cycle minimum is the best predictor of the amplitude of the next solar cycle.
Lisa A. Upton, David H. Hathaway
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Living Reviews in Solar Physics, 2015 The solar cycle is reviewed. The 11-year cycle of solar activity is characterized by the rise and fall in the numbers and surface area of sunspots. A number of other solar activity indicators also vary in association with the sunspots including; the 10.7
David H. Hathaway
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SuryaBench: Benchmark Dataset for Advancing Machine Learning in Heliophysics and Space Weather Prediction [PDF]
Scientific DataThis paper introduces a high resolution, machine learning-ready heliophysics dataset derived from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), specifically designed to advance machine learning (ML) applications in solar physics and space weather forecasting.
Sujit Roy +24 more
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Long-term variations in the north–south asymmetry of solar activity and solar cycle prediction, III: Prediction for the amplitude of solar cycle 25 [PDF]
New Astronomy, 2015 The combined Greenwich and Solar Optical Observing Network (SOON) sunspot group data during 1874-2013 are analyzed and studied the relatively long-term variations in the annual sums of the areas of sunspot groups in 0-10 deg, 10-20 deg, and 20-30 deg latitude intervals of the Sun's northern and southern hemispheres.
J Javaraiah
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On the Prediction of Solar Cycles [PDF]
Solar Physics, 2021 AbstractThis article deals with the prediction of the upcoming solar activity cycle, Solar Cycle 25. We propose that astronomical ephemeris, specifically taken from the catalogs of aphelia of the four Jovian planets, could be drivers of variations in solar activity, represented by the series of sunspot numbers (SSN) from 1749 to 2020.
V. Courtillot, F. Lopes, J. L. Le Mouël
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Prediction of even and odd sunspot cycles
Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 2023 Here we study the prediction of even and odd numbered sunspot cycles separately, thereby taking into account the Hale cyclicity of solar magnetism. We first show that the temporal evolution and shape of all sunspot cycles are extremely well-described by ...
Asikainen Timo, Mantere Jani
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