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Sovereign default and debt renegotiation [PDF]
Journal of International Economics, 2010 In this paper, we develop a small open economy model to study sovereign default and debt renegotiation within a dynamic borrowing framework. The model features both endogenous default risk and endogenous debt recovery rates. A country’s future borrowing and default decisions affect the determination of debt recovery rates in a Nash bargaining game ...
Vivian Z. Yue
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Sovereign default network and currency risk premia [PDF]
Financial Innovation, 2023 We construct a sovereign default network by employing high-dimensional vector autoregressions obtained by analyzing connectedness in sovereign credit default swap markets.
Lu Yang, Lei Yang, Xue Cui
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African sovereign risk premia and international market assets: A relook under the COVID-19 outbreak [PDF]
HeliyonUsing the wavelet multiscale coherence technique, the paper examines the interdependences between global market assets, sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and yield-to-maturity on bond spread for African economies from January 2019 to March 2023.
Godfred Amewu +2 more
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Properly pricing country risk: a model for pricing long-term fundamental risk applied to central and eastern European countries [PDF]
Financial Theory and Practice, 2010 The private sector has used proxies such as sovereign credit ratings, spreads on sovereign bonds and spreads on sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) to gauge country risk, even though these measures are pricing the risk of default of government bonds ...
Debora Revoltella +2 more
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Inflation and Sovereign Default [PDF]
IMF Staff Papers, 2000 Recent research has highlighted the role that the government budget constraint plays in determining the consumer price level. According to the fiscal approach to price determination, prices adjust so that the discounted value of future real government primary surpluses equals the current real value of public debt.
TURALAY KENC +2 more
openaire +4 more sources
Repudiation and Repression: The Human Costs of Sovereign Default
Social Sciences, 2023 Sovereign default has myriad economic and political consequences. Existing research, however, has not explored the human costs of sovereign default, though some link the fiscal flexibility afforded by sovereign creditworthiness to improved human rights ...
Stephen Bagwell
doaj +1 more source
Journal of Economic Theory, 2018 The ADEMU Working Paper Series is being supported by the European Commission Horizon 2020 European Union funding for Research & Innovation, grant agreement No 649396.
Ayres, João +3 more
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Reputation and Sovereign Default [PDF]
Econometrica, 2018 This paper presents a continuous‐time model of sovereign debt. In it, a relatively impatient sovereign government's hidden type switches back and forth between a commitment type, which cannot default, and an opportunistic type, which can, and where we assume outside lenders have particular beliefs regarding how a commitment type should borrow for any ...
Amador, Manuel, Phelan, Christopher
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İktisat Politikası Araştırmaları Dergisi, 2021 Sovereign credit ratings have gained importance in financial markets. Sovereign ratings have the function of providing necessary information in a common language between market participants who need funds and investors.
Merve Kırkıl
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Optimal Sovereign Default [PDF]
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2013 When is it optimal for a fully committed government to default on its legal repayment obligations? Considering a small open economy with domestic production risk and noncontingent government debt, we show that it is ex ante optimal to occasionally deviate from the legal repayment obligation and to repay debt only partially.
Klaus Adam, Michael Grill
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