Regional convergence and spatial dynamics of physician workforce distribution across regions in Türkiye (2008-2023). [PDF]
Koç AD.
europepmc +1 more source
DSGE Model Forecasting: Rational Expectations Versus Adaptive Learning
ABSTRACT This paper compares within‐sample and out‐of‐sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets, and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real‐time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4.
Anders Warne
wiley +1 more source
Spatial econometric analysis of health workforce distribution and its influencing factors in Inner Mongolia, China. [PDF]
Hu J, Xu L, Li X, Liu S.
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley +1 more source
Maximum likelihood estimation of matrix exponential spatial specification on seemingly unrelated regression-spatial autoregressive model. [PDF]
Marsono, Setiawan, Kuswanto H.
europepmc +1 more source
Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley +1 more source
The spatiotemporal effects of electrification on China's synergistic pollution and carbon reduction efficiency. [PDF]
Chen W +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
The Role of Coincident Information in Real‐Time Business Cycle Forecasting
ABSTRACT Official NBER recession dates are announced with substantial delay. Therefore, real‐time forecasters cannot condition on the most recent business cycle states even though recessions and expansions are highly persistent. I study whether real‐time coincident releases can substitute for this missing information. At each monthly forecast origin, I
Visa Kuntze
wiley +1 more source
Influence of urban innovation capacity on urban energy transition in China-the moderating role of climate risk. [PDF]
Wei J, Tan J.
europepmc +1 more source

