Results 181 to 190 of about 2,407 (254)

Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Dynamics in Small Open Economies

open access: yesJournal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether the effects of monetary policy shocks on real exchange rates have changed over time and, if so, whether these changes stem from shifts in transmission mechanisms or from variation in the volatility of the shocks themselves.
Madison Terrell   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

High‐Frequency Instruments With Time‐Varying Reliability: Understanding Identification in Macroeconomics

open access: yesJournal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The effects of monetary policy shocks are regularly estimated using high‐frequency surprises in asset prices around central bank meetings as an instrument. These studies, insofar as they explicitly model the relationship between instrument and structural shock, assume a constant relationship between the instrument and the monetary policy shock.
Pooyan Amir‐Ahmadi   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Robust Tests of Forecast Accuracy for Factor‐Augmented Regressions With an Application to the Novel EA‐MD‐QD Dataset

open access: yesJournal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We present four novel tests of equal predictive accuracy and encompassing á Pitarakis (2023, 2025) for factor‐augmented regressions. Factors are estimated using cross‐section averages (CAs) of grouped series and our theoretical findings are empirically relevant: asymptotic normality, robustness to an overspecification of the number of factors,
Alessandro Morico, Ovidijus Stauskas
wiley   +1 more source

Bayesian Model Averaging in Causal Instrumental Variable Models

open access: yesJournal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Instrumental variables are a popular tool to infer causal effects under unobserved confounding, but choosing suitable instruments is challenging in practice. We propose gIVBMA, a Bayesian model averaging procedure that addresses this challenge by averaging across different sets of instrumental variables and covariates in a structural equation ...
Gregor Steiner, Mark Steel
wiley   +1 more source

Fiscal Policy Regimes in Resource‐Rich Economies

open access: yesJournal of Applied Econometrics, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We analyse fiscal policy in resource‐rich economies using a novel Bayesian regime‐switching panel model. The identified regimes capture pro‐ or countercyclical fiscal behaviour by allowing regime‐specific shifts in the average fiscal stance, while the switches between the regimes have the interpretation of changes in fiscal policy.
Hilde C. Bjørnland   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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