Results 181 to 190 of about 24,288,003 (306)

Evaluation of a stochastically perturbed parametrisations scheme for sea ice in sub‐seasonal forecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Overconfident sea ice forecasts pose a challenge in subseasonal prediction. To test a potential way to address this issue and account for sea ice model uncertainty, this article investigates a stochastically perturbed parametrisations (SPP) scheme for sea ice in a prototype CY49R2 configuration of the coupled IFS‐NEMO4‐SI3 system. The results show that
Jonas Spaeth, Steffen Tietsche, Kristian Strommen, Michael Mayer, Andrea Storto, Christopher D. Roberts, Sarah‐Jane Lock, Sarah Keeley   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Spatio-temporal analysis of dengue outbreaks in India (2021-2025): evidence from the secondary analysis of Integrated Disease Surveillance Programme. [PDF]

BMJ Public Health
Marinaik SB, H Chalageri V, Reval PR, Manjunath V, Jithendra H, Manjunath A, Bankoti K, Negi G, Tomer V, Anvikar A.   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Object‐based deep learning for probabilistic convective‐core nowcasting from satellite data

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Convective cores detected from Meteosat infrared imagery are represented as compact physical objects to generate probabilistic nowcasts up to 6 h ahead. A spatio‐temporal transformer models interactions among evolving core populations and produces gridded probability forecasts across the western Sahel.
Mendrika Rakotomanga, Douglas J. Parker, Nadhir Ben Rached, Seonaid R. Anderson, Cornelia Klein, Steven C. Wells   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Exploratory Associations Between Climatic, Environmental, and Surveillance Indicators and Human West Nile Virus Infections in Apulia: A Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Analysis. [PDF]

Viruses
Lorusso L, Maldera N, Bartolomeo N, Centrone F, Chironna M, Trerotoli P.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Error in ERA5 2‐m temperature identified using GraphCast

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We identify a recurrent error in ERA5 2‐m temperature over the Ethiopian Highlands that occurs predominantly at 0600 UTC on ≈7%$$ \approx 7\% $$ of dates. The artefact is caused by the 2D optimal‐interpolation scheme assimilating temporally displaced surface reports (e.g., 0900 UTC) into the 0600 UTC analysis.
Hannah M. Christensen, Jack Barker, Bobby Antonio, Massimo Bonavita, Mohamed Dahoui, Patricia de Rosnay   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Shorter Recovery Periods Between Smoke Waves: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis in California (2006-2020). [PDF]

Geohealth
Jones-Ngo CG, Chen C, Aguilera R, Marlier ME, Benmarhnia T.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Assessment of subseasonal forecast skill of tropical–extratropical cloud bands over the four subtropical convergence zones

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study evaluates the subseasonal predictive skill of tropical–extratropical cloud bands across four subtropical convergence zones in ECMWF reforecasts (2003–2022). Results show that, while exact daily predictions are limited to one week, accounting for temporal displacement improves forecast skill significantly, revealing a systematic early onset ...
Romain Pilon, Daniela I.V. Domeisen
wiley   +1 more source

Spatio-temporal analysis and geostatistical modelling of onchocerciasis prevalence in Nigeria to support elimination efforts. [PDF]

PLoS Negl Trop Dis
Babalola AS, Adekunle TA, Babatunde TP, Adeniyi YA, Adeniran O, Omitola O, Ito EE, Olakiigbe A, Gyang PV, Makata E, Adewale B, Akinwale OP, Idowu OA, Surakat OA, Adeogun AO, Adeleke MA.   +15 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Assessing the ability of a stretched‐grid deep‐learning weather prediction model to capture physical balances

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Regional deep learning weather prediction (DLWP) models, such as Bris, offer high resolution forecasts comparable with traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. We evaluated Bris against the operational MetCoOp Ensemble Prediction System (MEPS) during extratropical cyclone Poly (July 5, 2023).
Francesco Pasquini, Michiel Baatsen, Bastien François, Natalie Theeuwes, Maurice Schmeits   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

A Psychoacoustic Feature Extraction and Spatio-Temporal Analysis Framework for Continuous Aircraft Noise Monitoring. [PDF]

Sensors (Basel)
He T, Hou J, Chen D.
europepmc   +1 more source