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Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles
Motivated by the behavior of asset prices, trading volume, and price volatility during episodes of asset price bubbles, we present a continuous‐time equilibrium model in which overconfidence generates disagreements among agents regarding asset fundamentals. With short‐sale constraints, an asset buyer acquires an option to sell the asset to other agents
Jose A. Scheinkman, Wei Xiong
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Asset shortages, liquidity and speculative bubbles
Journal of Economic Theory, 2019zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Gaetano Bloise, Alessandro Citanna
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Speculative bubbles in agricultural prices
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2015Abstract We use the momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) approach to test for speculative bubbles in US corn, soybean and wheat prices. To approximate fundamental values of these agricultural commodities, we use real crude oil prices and real exchange rates.
Philipp Adämmer, Martin T. Bohl
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Speculative bubbles in segmented markets: Evidence from Chinese cross-listed stocks
We propose a novel approach for testing for speculative bubbles in segmented capital markets. The basic idea is that, under capital controls, heterogeneity of speculative expectations across international equity markets causes financial assets with ...
Efthymios G Pavlidis +1 more
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Probability of price crashes, rational speculative bubbles, and the cross-section of stock returns
Journal of Financial Economics, 2019We estimate an ex ante probability of extreme negative returns (crashes) of individual stocks as a measure of potential overpricing and find that stocks with a high probability of crashes earn abnormally low returns.
Jeewon Jang
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Using Market Expectations to Test for Speculative Bubbles in the Crude Oil Market
The wide fluctuations of oil prices from 2003 to 2008 have attracted the interest of academics and policymakers. A popular view is that these fluctuations were caused by speculative bubbles due to the increased financialization of oil futures markets ...
Efthymios G Pavlidis +2 more
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Speculative Bubbles and Talent Misallocation
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Dong, Feng, Jia, Yandong, Wang, Siqing
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SPECULATIVE BUBBLES AND FINANCIAL MARKETS
Oxford Economic Papers, 1992info:eu-repo/semantics ...
Adam, Marie Christine, Szafarz, Ariane
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Reviewing the definition and measurement of speculative bubbles in context of contagion, this paper analyses the DotCom bubble in American and European equity markets using the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed as on one hand as an ...
Pedro L Valls Pereira, Xibin Zhang
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Speculative bubbles under supply constraints, background risk and investment fraud in the art market
Journal of Corporate Finance, 2020We examine the unexplored effects on art markets of artist death (asset supply constraints), collectors' wealth (background risk) and forgery risk (risk of investment fraud), under short-sale constraints and risk aversion.
A. Bernales +2 more
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