Results 21 to 30 of about 6,611 (148)
From Regression to Reasoning: Predicting M&A Announcement Returns With Large Language Models
European Financial Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study investigates whether large language models (LLMs) can predict short‐term market reactions to M&A announcements. We prompt OpenAI's latest reasoning models (o3, GPT‐5, and GPT‐5.1) to forecast whether the combined market value of acquirer and target will increase or decrease, drawing on deal‐, firm‐, and macroeconomic data for large ...
Maximilian Schreiter +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Pressure‐Driven Cash Holdings Under Biodiversity Risk
European Financial Management, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This study examines how biodiversity risk affects corporate cash holdings and the mechanisms shaping this relationship. We find that firms facing higher biodiversity risk significantly increase cash reserves. Internal CSR governance and external institutional pressures both reinforce precautionary cash policies, highlighting the importance of ...
Kangding Wang, Tongbin Xu, Min Yang
wiley +1 more source
Testing for Contagion in International Financial Markets: To See More, Go Higher
Financial Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Traditional measures of financial contagion rely on correlation shifts, overlooking higher moments such as skewness and kurtosis. We examine contagion during two major financial crises, incorporating lower‐ and higher‐moment measures. We analyze stock market returns from 22 major markets at different frequencies, offering a global perspective ...
Simeon Coleman, Vitor Leone
wiley +1 more source
Exposure to Left‐Tail Risk, Risk Appetite, and Mutual Fund Flows
Financial Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Using a measure of aggregate tail risk, we show that a fund's sensitivity (exposure) to tail risk negatively affects the fund flows and the fund's performance. Further, a fund's tail risk sensitivity relates positively to the left‐tail risk measures of the fund.
Ali K. Malik
wiley +1 more source
Residual Income Valuation and Stock Returns: Evidence From a Value‐to‐Price Investment Strategy*
Financial Review, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper contributes to the accounting and asset pricing anomalies literature by investigating the performance of value‐to‐price (V/P) strategies, and the relationship between V/P ratio and various risk proxies. If the V/P ratio successfully predicts future returns at stock level, we hypothesize that portfolios based on the V/P ratio ...
Ahmad Haboub +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Daily entry and exit triggers for open market repurchases
Journal of Financial Research, EarlyView.Abstract Using publicly available daily data, we analyse the daily decision repurchasing firms make to enter or exit the market during open market repurchase programs. Firms enter the market to repurchase after a stock price downturn and maintain their presence in the market while stock returns remain negative. The lower the preceding overnight return,
Christine Brown, Sean Pinder
wiley +1 more source
Are CSR incidents truly bad news?
Journal of Financial Research, EarlyView.Abstract We revisit whether disclosures of negative Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) incidents adversely affect firms' stock prices. While univariate tests reveal significant negative abnormal returns around incident announcements, the effect disappears once firm characteristics, industry, and time‐fixed effects are controlled for.
Chen Chen +2 more
wiley +1 more source
The expected inflation risk premium in the U.S. stock market
Journal of Financial Research, EarlyView.Abstract This article studies how expected inflation risk affects asset prices. We propose an ex‐ante, tradable proxy for this risk, derived from the term spread of gold futures prices. Using cross‐sectional and time series asset pricing tests, we show how an increase in expected inflation risk lowers contemporaneous prices and raises equity returns ...
Pascal Letourneau +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Does the Conditional CAPM Work? Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange [PDF]
This paper tests whether the conditional CAPM accurately prices assets utilizing data from the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) over the time period from February 1997 to April 2008. In our empirical analysis, we closely follow the methodology introduced in
Atakan Yalcýn, Nuri Ersahin
core
Multiple Chains Markov Switching Vector Autoregression
Journal of Time Series Analysis, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Both the U.S. stock and bond returns exhibit distinct Markovian regimes. However, because these regimes display limited coherence, conventional models typically require highly parameterized systems to adequately capture their joint distribution.
Leopoldo Catania
wiley +1 more source