Impact of Sovereign Debt Maturity on Fiscal Sustainability
ABSTRACT This study is the first to investigate the impact of the term structure of public debt on fiscal sustainability. We adopt the widely used backward‐looking measure of fiscal sustainability—fiscal responsiveness as proposed by Bohn. Using data from De Graeve and Mazzolini and focusing on a sample of 19 most developed countries, we demonstrate ...
António Afonso +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Towards a unified approach to formal "risk of bias" assessments for causal and descriptive inference. [PDF]
Pescott OL +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
The Impact of Economic Growth on Insurance (Growth)
ABSTRACT This paper investigates the impact of economic growth on insurance (growth), focusing on the outflow side of the insurance activity, as captured by benefits (including commissions and expenses). The findings provide evidence that economic growth does exert a positive, statistically significant impact on the benefit side of insurance (growth ...
Nicholas Apergis +2 more
wiley +1 more source
An integrated framework for reducing construction carbon emissions using real-time monitoring and econometrics. [PDF]
Bai F +7 more
europepmc +1 more source
Alternative Data for Realised Volatility Forecasting: Limit Order Book and News Stories
ABSTRACT We examine whether two major alternative data sources, limit order book information and firm‐specific news, provide incremental predictive information for daily realised volatility forecasting within the HAR‐family, using a parsimonious framework to ensure practical implementation and comparability. The framework is designed for practical real‐
Eghbal Rahimikia, Ser‐Huang Poon
wiley +1 more source
Central statistical monitoring in clinical trial management: A scoping review. [PDF]
Fronc M +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Developing a Z‐ESG Score Model for Assessing Corporate ESG Performance
ABSTRACT In this study we develop a novel, unique ESG rating model that exploits the logic of the Z‐score by Altman (1968) to discriminate between ESG performing and non‐ESG performing firms using indicators of ESG performance for each of the three pillars (Environmental, Social, Governance) in place of financial ratios.
Edward I. Altman +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Fiscal Cyclicality and Debt Sustainability: Evidence From Over a Century of Data
ABSTRACT Using a historical fiscal dataset for a group of 11 economies over the period 1880–2022, we examine debt sustainability and fiscal policy cyclicality and assess the factors influencing fiscal behaviour. We find that positive and statistically significant responses of primary balances to debt emerge in specific historical episodes and ...
Christos Chrysanthakopoulos +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 activity to support Australia's pandemic response: 2020-22. [PDF]
Moss R +18 more
europepmc +1 more source

