Bayesian inverse ensemble forecasting for COVID‐19
Abstract Variations in strains of COVID‐19 have a significant impact on the rate of surges and on the accuracy of forecasts of the epidemic dynamics. The primary goal for this article is to quantify the effects of varying strains of COVID‐19 on ensemble forecasts of individual “surges.” By modelling the disease dynamics with an SIR model, we solve the ...
Kimberly Kroetch, Don Estep
wiley +1 more source
Adaptive BDS RTK Positioning with Azimuth-Integer-Based Elevation Masking for Real-Time Deformation Monitoring in Mining Environments. [PDF]
Zhu L +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Stochastic Gradient Descent in High Dimensions for Multi‐Spiked Tensor PCA
ABSTRACT We study the high‐dimensional dynamics of online stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for the multi‐spiked tensor model. This multi‐index model arises from the tensor principal component analysis (PCA) problem with multiple spikes, where the goal is to estimate the unknown signal vectors within the N$N$‐dimensional unit sphere through maximum ...
Gérard Ben Arous +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A tri-level stochastic framework for planning integrated electricity, gas, and heating networks with enhanced resilience and renewable integration. [PDF]
Moshkelgosha M +2 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACTSocial farming integrates agricultural activities with social and rehabilitative functions, offering significant benefits to communities. However, its economic sustainability depends, among other factors, on consumer acceptance and willingness to pay a premium for its products.
Francesca Moino +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Terracing influences soil microbial assembly in citrus orchards: stochastic processes dominate community dynamics in a karst sloping land. [PDF]
Zhang J +8 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT Effective management of particle and power exhaust is essential for fusion reactor operation, requiring accurate 3D modeling of divertor physics. The EMC3 code is a well‐established Monte Carlo tool for plasma transport in stellarator edge regions, but until now lacked E×B$$ E\times B $$ and diamagnetic drifts.
Ruben De Wolf +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Differential assembly and functional roles of bacterial communities in coniferous and mixed conifer-broadleaf forest soils. [PDF]
Chen D +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
This study investigates ground subsidence during tunnel excavation in karst areas, highlighting the combined effects of karst cave proximity, cave size, and soil spatial variability. Findings suggest that shorter cave distances and larger cave sizes increase subsidence variability, and a modified Peck formula is proposed for more accurate subsidence ...
Zhenghong Su +4 more
wiley +1 more source
A principled basis for nonequilibrium network flows. [PDF]
Yang YJ, Dill KA.
europepmc +1 more source

