Results 211 to 220 of about 1,246,337 (384)

Real‐Time Forecasting Using Mixed‐Frequency VARs With Time‐Varying Parameters

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real‐time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive models that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature by evaluating a mixed‐frequency time‐varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic ...
Markus Heinrich, Magnus Reif
wiley   +1 more source

Multivariate stochastic volatility modeling of neural data. [PDF]

open access: yesElife, 2019
Phan TD   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
Abstract Reverse Unrestricted MIxed DAta Sampling (RU‐MIDAS) regressions are used to model high‐frequency responses by means of low‐frequency variables. However, due to the periodic structure of RU‐MIDAS regressions, the dimensionality grows quickly if the frequency mismatch between the high‐ and low‐frequency variables is large.
Alain Hecq, Marie Ternes, Ines Wilms
wiley   +1 more source

Fundamentals Models Versus Random Walk: Evidence From an Emerging Economy

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We analyze the predictive power of fundamentals versus random walk models for horizons from 1 to 24 months in an emerging market. Specifically, we investigate what fundamentals models outperform random walk during periods of appreciation and depreciation of the exchange rate.
Helder Ferreira de Mendonça   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Pricing Volatility Referenced Assets

open access: yesRevista Brasileira de Finanças, 2006
Volatility swaps are contingent claims on future realized volatility. Variance swaps are similar instruments on future realized variance, the square of future realized volatility.
Alan De Genaro Dario
doaj  

Risk management based on stochastic volatility [PDF]

open access: green, 2003
Ernst Eberlein   +2 more
openalex   +1 more source

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