A dual-stochastic real options model for sports tourism investment: A case study in China. [PDF]
Liu T, Cheng J, Huang Y.
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Dynamic forecasting and mechanisms of volatility synchronization in complex financial systems. [PDF]
Li JC, Guo J, Ma R, Zhong G.
europepmc +1 more source
DSGE Model Forecasting: Rational Expectations Versus Adaptive Learning
ABSTRACT This paper compares within‐sample and out‐of‐sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets, and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real‐time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4.
Anders Warne
wiley +1 more source
Nowcasting World Trade With Machine Learning: A Three‐Step Approach
ABSTRACT We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree‐based methods (random forest and gradient boosting) and their linear‐regression‐based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest and gradient boosting—linear). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform not only the tree‐based techniques ...
Menzie Chinn +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Enhancing the pricing efficiency of financial assets with an optimized bayesian network based on efficient fusion. [PDF]
Fu Q, Li X.
europepmc +1 more source
Predicting EU Emissions Allowance Prices Using Macroeconomic Indicators and Hybrid AI Models
ABSTRACT Predicting carbon allowance prices has grown more crucial in relation to carbon market regulation, financial strategy, and environmental policy development. This study examines a hybrid forecasting system that combines deep learning with ensemble machine learning models to forecast the price fluctuations of EU Emissions Allowance (EUAs) within
Saptarshi Ganguly +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A new method of off-site inverse carbon accounting and its application in agriculture carbon measurement. [PDF]
Shen H, Liu Y, Zou B, Li K.
europepmc +1 more source
Energy security risk has a positive impact on material footprint. Renewable energy consumption reduces material footprint. ABSTRACT Following a high economic growth path, the group of G7 economies is found to be utilising more and more material, causing a material footprint (MF), which in turn contributes to pollution.
Serhat Çamkaya +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Bond market opening, monetary policy, and systemic financial risks - An empirical study based on the TVP-SV-VAR model. [PDF]
Ping WY, Hu YW, Luo LQ.
europepmc +1 more source

