Does the registration system reform reduce the finance sector's risk spillover effect in China's stock market-Causal inference based on dual machine learning. [PDF]
Zhang Y, Li W, Dong S.
europepmc +1 more source
A Deep Learning Framework for Forecasting Medium‐Term Covariance in Multiasset Portfolios
ABSTRACT Forecasting the covariance matrix of asset returns is central to portfolio construction, risk management, and asset pricing. However, most existing models struggle at medium‐term horizons, several weeks to months, where shifting market regimes and slower dynamics prevail.
Pedro Reis, Ana Paula Serra, João Gama
wiley +1 more source
Flexible Target Prediction for Quantitative Trading in the American Stock Market: A Hybrid Framework Integrating Ensemble Models, Fusion Models and Transfer Learning. [PDF]
Yan K +6 more
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Market Interconnectedness
ABSTRACT While the existing research uncovers interconnections between various housing markets, it largely ignores the question of whether such linkages can improve house price predictions. To address this issue, we proceed in two steps. First, we forecast disaggregated house price growth rates from Australia and China to determine whether ...
Zac Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Dynamic interdependence between consumer confidence and housing prices: Evidence from bootstrap rolling window causality tests. [PDF]
Guan Y, Su C, Wang Y.
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Modeling and forecasting Saudi banking stability using ARIMA and exponential smoothing technique. [PDF]
Alnajjar A, Assous HF, Al-Najjar H.
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT This paper adopts a bivariate Markov‐switching multifractal (BMSM) model to reexamine comovement in SV between commodity, foreign exchange (FX), and stock markets. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis understanding volatility linkages and the correlation structure between these markets becomes very important for risk analysts, portfolio
Ruipeng Liu +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Predicting stock returns using machine learning combined with data envelopment analysis and automatic feature engineering: A case study on the Vietnamese stock market. [PDF]
Thanh Nhon H, Do-Thi N, Nguyen-Trang T.
europepmc +1 more source

