Results 11 to 20 of about 1,316,843 (310)
International Stock Return Comovements [PDF]
The Journal of Finance, 2005 We examine international stock return comovements using country-industry and country-style portfolios. We first establish that parsimonious risk-based factor models capture the covariance structure of the data better than the popular Heston-Rouwenhorst ...
Geert Bekaert +2 more
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Understanding stock return predictability [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2006 Over the period 1927:Q1 to 2005:Q4, the average CAPM-based idiosyncratic variance (IV) and stock market variance jointly forecast stock market returns.
Hui Guo, Robert Savickas
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Jackknifing Stock Return Predictions [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2008 We show that the general bias reducing technique of jackknifing can be successfully applied to stock return predictability regressions. Compared to standard OLS estimation, the jackknifing procedure delivers virtually unbiased estimates with mean squared errors that generally dominate those of the OLS estimates.
Benjamin Chiquoine, Erik Hjalmarsson
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Heteroskedasticity in Stock Returns [PDF]
The Journal of Finance, 1990 ABSTRACTWe use predictions of aggregate stock return variances from daily data to estimate time‐varying monthly variances for size‐ranked portfolios. We propose and estimate a single factor model of heteroskedasticity for portfolio returns. This model implies time‐varying betas. Implications of heteroskedasticity and time‐varying betas for tests of the
Schwert, G William, Seguin, Paul J
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Motivated Beliefs about Stock Returns
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021 Does holding a stock bias one’s expectations about its future value? We find experimental evidence that it does. First, in a laboratory experiment we elicit peoples’ price predictions for simulated stocks and compare these with the Bayesian benchmark.
Carlos Cueva, Iñigo Iturbe-Ormaetxe
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Comoment Risk and Stock Return [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2009 AbstractWe estimate investable comoment equity risk premiums for the US markets. The stock's contribution to the asymmetry and the fat tails of the market portfolio's payoff are priced into a coskewness premium and a cokurtosis premium. We construct zero-investment strategies that are long and short in coskewness and cokurtosis equity risks; we infer ...
Lambert, Marie, Hübner, Georges
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Multifrequency News and Stock Returns [PDF]
Journal of Financial Economics, 2005 Recent research documents that aggregate stock prices are driven by shocks with persistence levels ranging from daily intervals to several decades. Building on these insights, we introduce a parsimonious equilibrium model in which regime-shifts of heterogeneous durations affect the volatility of dividend news.
Laurent E. Calvet, Adlai J. Fisher
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REGIME CHANGES IN STOCK RETURNS [PDF]
Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 1994 This paper studies three sources of instability in parameter estimates of stock return models (1) time‐varying expected mean returns, (2) time‐varying return volatility and (3) changing institutional factors. We model United States stock returns as a function of a constant expected return and financing costs resulting from an institutional feature ...
Nan-Ting Chou, Ramon P. DeGennaro
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Forecasting US Stock Returns [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2018 We forecast quarterly US stock returns using 25 predictor variables. We consider a breadth of forecast methods and metrics, including bi- and multi-variate regressions, linear and non-linear models, rolling and recursive techniques, forecast combinations and statistical and economic evaluation.
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Profit persistence and stock returns [PDF]
Applied Economics, 2016 This paper attempts to assemble further empirical evidence on the relationship between the product and the financial market. Drawing back on work in industrial organization, we analyse the relationship between profit persistence and factor adjusted stock returns looking at about 2000 listed US firms over the last 34 years.
Gschwandtner, Adelina, Hauser, Michael
openaire +5 more sources