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The interdisciplinary concept of strategic foresight in the trans-disciplinary of futures studies: what is it and why does it matter? [PDF]

open access: yesInterdisciplinary Studies in the Humanities, 2017
The emergence of the trans-disciplinary of futures studies after World War II put aside prophet-like fortune-telling and predictions. This trans-disciplinary, having undergone ups and downs during the recent decades, always tried to provide some ...
M. Shirvani, M.R. Eivazi, H. Ghasemi
doaj   +1 more source

METHODOLOGY OF FORESIGHT-ANALYSIS IN FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE

open access: yesBaltic Journal of Economic Studies, 2021
The purpose of the article is to substantiate the systemic principles of implementation of foresight-analysis of international trade as a method of strategic forecasting at the macro level, the formation of its methodological tools and implementation ...
Ilona Dumanska
doaj   +1 more source

Investigating the effects of strategic foresight on organizational performance by considering the role of organizational learning and value creation [PDF]

open access: yesمطالعات مدیریت راهبردی, 2021
Introduction and Aim: With increasing changes and the emergence of new issues in the global community, predicting the future in a changing world has become very difficult for planners.
Mahdi Nikooye   +2 more
doaj  

Public Anxieties About AI: Implications for Corporate Strategy and Societal Impact

open access: yesAdministrative Sciences
This research critically examines the underlying anxieties surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) that are often concealed in public discourse, particularly in the United Kingdom.
Michael Gerlich
doaj   +1 more source

The future of tourism: evolution and future of scenario planning and strategic foresight in tourism with Albert Postma [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Tourism Futures
Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Stefan Hartman (head of department at the European Tourism Futures Institute, NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences) interviews Prof.
Stefan Hartman, Albert Postma
doaj   +1 more source

AI and the Rise of Societal Bifurcation: Cognitive Dependency, Inequality and Democratic Pressure

open access: yesSocieties
Generative artificial intelligence increasingly mediates how individuals interpret information, perform cognitive tasks, and participate in economic and political life.
Michael Gerlich
doaj   +1 more source

Improving national strategic foresight with the use of forecasting tournaments and its implications for the study of international relations [version 1; peer review: 2 approved]

open access: yesStosunki Międzynarodowe, 2022
Improving national strategic foresight can help the formation of more robust and informed policies, including foreign policy. Predicated upon the theory behind peer-prediction elicitation methods such as Reciprocal Scoring, we combined two foresight ...
Jan Kleňha
doaj   +1 more source

Using systems thinking to design actionable futures: a nuclear weapons example

open access: yesEuropean Journal of Futures Research, 2018
It is a general observation that foresight is analogised with forecast. Yet foresight, or futures thinking, is not predictive or deterministic. The misperception appears to be based on the belief that foresight does not often result in tangible results ...
Leon D. Young
doaj   +1 more source

From Offloading to Engagement: An Experimental Study on Structured Prompting and Critical Reasoning with Generative AI

open access: yesData
The rapid adoption of generative AI raises questions not only about its transformative potential but also about its cognitive and societal risks. This study contributes to the debate by presenting cross-country experimental data (n = 150; Germany ...
Michael Gerlich
doaj   +1 more source

Corporate Foresight in Multinational Business Strategies

open access: yesForesight and STI Governance, 2017
The paper explores corporate foresight as a new important tool within the strategic management system of multinational corporations (MNCs). The author directly connects the recent rise of corporate foresight with MNCs’ growing need to fill the gaps in ...
Alexey Bereznoy
doaj   +1 more source

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