The interdisciplinary concept of strategic foresight in the trans-disciplinary of futures studies: what is it and why does it matter? [PDF]
The emergence of the trans-disciplinary of futures studies after World War II put aside prophet-like fortune-telling and predictions. This trans-disciplinary, having undergone ups and downs during the recent decades, always tried to provide some ...
M. Shirvani, M.R. Eivazi, H. Ghasemi
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METHODOLOGY OF FORESIGHT-ANALYSIS IN FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE
The purpose of the article is to substantiate the systemic principles of implementation of foresight-analysis of international trade as a method of strategic forecasting at the macro level, the formation of its methodological tools and implementation ...
Ilona Dumanska
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Investigating the effects of strategic foresight on organizational performance by considering the role of organizational learning and value creation [PDF]
Introduction and Aim: With increasing changes and the emergence of new issues in the global community, predicting the future in a changing world has become very difficult for planners.
Mahdi Nikooye +2 more
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Public Anxieties About AI: Implications for Corporate Strategy and Societal Impact
This research critically examines the underlying anxieties surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) that are often concealed in public discourse, particularly in the United Kingdom.
Michael Gerlich
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The future of tourism: evolution and future of scenario planning and strategic foresight in tourism with Albert Postma [PDF]
Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Stefan Hartman (head of department at the European Tourism Futures Institute, NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences) interviews Prof.
Stefan Hartman, Albert Postma
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AI and the Rise of Societal Bifurcation: Cognitive Dependency, Inequality and Democratic Pressure
Generative artificial intelligence increasingly mediates how individuals interpret information, perform cognitive tasks, and participate in economic and political life.
Michael Gerlich
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Improving national strategic foresight can help the formation of more robust and informed policies, including foreign policy. Predicated upon the theory behind peer-prediction elicitation methods such as Reciprocal Scoring, we combined two foresight ...
Jan Kleňha
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Using systems thinking to design actionable futures: a nuclear weapons example
It is a general observation that foresight is analogised with forecast. Yet foresight, or futures thinking, is not predictive or deterministic. The misperception appears to be based on the belief that foresight does not often result in tangible results ...
Leon D. Young
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The rapid adoption of generative AI raises questions not only about its transformative potential but also about its cognitive and societal risks. This study contributes to the debate by presenting cross-country experimental data (n = 150; Germany ...
Michael Gerlich
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Corporate Foresight in Multinational Business Strategies
The paper explores corporate foresight as a new important tool within the strategic management system of multinational corporations (MNCs). The author directly connects the recent rise of corporate foresight with MNCs’ growing need to fill the gaps in ...
Alexey Bereznoy
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