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Subjective Probability

2004
This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues.
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ON SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY REVISION

British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 1972
A simple one‐parameter model is proposed for the behaviour of conservative subjects in a probability revision task. The model exhibits several features of experimental data, makes specific predictions and provides a useful norm in a somewhat confused and inconsistent area of research.
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Countably Additive Subjective Probabilities

The Review of Economic Studies, 1997
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