Results 201 to 210 of about 11,986,242 (329)

Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley   +1 more source

Migratory connectivity and barrier-crossing flights of Vermivora warblers are associated with synoptic weather conditions. [PDF]

open access: yesJ Anim Ecol
Kramer GR   +13 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Predictability of North Pacific blocking events: Analogue‐based analysis of historical MIROC6 simulations

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The predictability of western and eastern North Pacific blocking events is assessed using analogue‐based diagnostics. Eastern blocks exhibit lower predictability, characterized by faster error growth and higher mean logarithmic divergence rates. The study highlights geographical contrasts in blocking stability.
Anupama K. Xavier   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

All‐sky assimilation impacts of the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder constellation on global weather forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Key Findings: An assimilation methodology is established for the Tomorrow.io microwave sounder (TMS) flying on CubeSats in sun‐synchronous and inclined orbits, and in all cloud scenes. The TMS has a significant impact on weather forecast lead times up to 3 days in the Tropics in a research‐quality numerical weather prediction setting, and yields water ...
Jonathan J. Guerrette   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Art Critics and Art Historians in Schools: A Synoptic Report of an Interdisciplinary Research Project [PDF]

open access: yes, 2003
Addison, Nicholas   +8 more
core   +2 more sources

Forecast verification using information and noise

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Verification of weather forecasts is usually expressed in terms of total error metrics. This is useful for end users of the forecasts but does not allow evaluation of the intrinsic information content of the forecasts. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new total error decomposition into information and noise error measures, connect it to ...
Massimo Bonavita, Alan J. Geer
wiley   +1 more source

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