Results 21 to 30 of about 2,345,508 (316)

Tail conditional probabilities to predict academic performance

open access: yes4 open, 2019
In this paper, we estimate tail conditional probabilities by incorporating copula models and adopting a Bayesian estimation process for the copula’s parameter.
González-López Verónica Andrea   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Importance Sampling in the Presence of PD-LGD Correlation

open access: yesRisks, 2020
This paper seeks to identify computationally efficient importance sampling (IS) algorithms for estimating large deviation probabilities for the loss on a portfolio of loans. Related literature typically assumes that realised losses on defaulted loans can
Adam Metzler, Alexandre Scott
doaj   +1 more source

An Enhanced Method for Tail Index Estimation under Missingness

open access: yesJournal of Applied Mathematics, 2021
Extreme events in earthquakes, wind speed, among others are rare but may lead to catastrophic effects on humans and the environment. The primary parameter in the estimation of such rare events is the tail index which measures the tail heaviness of an ...
F. Ayiah-Mensah   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

An asymptotically Gaussian bound on the Rademacher tails [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
An explicit upper bound on the tail probabilities for the normalized Rademacher sums is given. This bound, which is best possible in a certain sense, is asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding tail probability of the standard normal distribution ...
Pinelis, Iosif
core   +2 more sources

Tail Bounds for the Wiener Index of Random Trees [PDF]

open access: yesDiscrete Mathematics & Theoretical Computer Science, 2007
Upper and lower bounds for the tail probabilities of the Wiener index of random binary search trees are given. For upper bounds the moment generating function of the vector of Wiener index and internal path length is estimated.
Tämur Ali Khan, Ralph Neininger
doaj   +1 more source

A new representation for multivariate tail probabilities [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the effect of allowing
J. Wadsworth, J. Tawn
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Confidence intervals for the between-study variance in random-effects meta-analysis using generalised heterogeneity statistics: should we use unequal tails?

open access: yesBMC Medical Research Methodology, 2016
Background Confidence intervals for the between study variance are useful in random-effects meta-analyses because they quantify the uncertainty in the corresponding point estimates.
Dan Jackson, Jack Bowden
doaj   +1 more source

Tail Invariant Measures of the Dyck Shift [PDF]

open access: yes, 2007
We show that the one-sided Dyck shift has a unique tail invariant topologically $\sigma$-finite measure (up to scaling). This invariant measure of the one sided Dyck turns out to be a shift-invariant probability. Furthermore, it is one of the two ergodic
Meyerovitch, Tom
core   +3 more sources

Exact bounds for tail probabilities of martingales with bounded differences

open access: yesLietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, 2009
We consider random walks, say Wn = {0, M1, . . ., Mn} of length n starting at 0 and based on a martingale sequence Mk = X1 + ··· + Xk with differences Xm. Assuming |Xk| \leq 1 we solve the isoperimetric problem Bn(x) = supP\{Wn visits an interval [x,∞
Dainius Dzindzalieta
doaj   +1 more source

The variance-gamma ratio distribution

open access: yesComptes Rendus. Mathématique, 2023
Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent variance-gamma random variables with zero location parameter; then the exact probability density function of the ratio $X/Y$ is derived.
Gaunt, Robert E., Li, Siqi
doaj   +1 more source

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