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Value-at-risk with heavy-tailed risk factors

Proceedings of the IEEE/IAFE/INFORMS 2000 Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr) (Cat. No.00TH8520), 2002
This paper develops methods for computationally efficient calculation of value-at-risk (VAR) in the presence of heavy-tailed risk factors. The methods model market risk factors through a multivariate t-distribution, which has both heavy tails and empirical support.
Paul Glasserman   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Conditional tail behaviour and Value at Risk

Quantitative Finance, 2007
In this paper we study the tail behaviour of eight major market indexes stratifying data according to the violation of a high threshold on the previous day. The distributional differences found can be exploited to improve VaR calculations in several settings, giving rise to what we call ‘MCVaR’.
Bellini F., FIGA' TALAMANCA, GIANNA
openaire   +3 more sources

Compound Tail Risk

The Journal of Portfolio Management, 2023
To evaluate long run risks we often use stress tests. However, when we consider several stress scenarios, there is a question of how to interpret the results. This is the problem of compound risk. Using the concept of tail dependence, a solution is proposed. This is applied to the compound risk of climate and market risk for global banks.
openaire   +1 more source

Tailing Tail Risk in the Hedge Fund Industry

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012
This paper aims to assess dynamic tail risk exposure in the hedge fund sector using daily data. We use a copula function to model both lower and upper tail dependence between hedge-fund and broad-market returns as a function of market uncertainty. We proxy the latter by means of a single index that combines the options-implied market volatility, the ...
Walter Distaso   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

The Devil Is in the Tail: Macroeconomic Tail Risk Expectations of Firms

CESifo Working Papers
This paper examines novel survey evidence on firms’ beliefs about macroeconomic tail risk and their role in investment decisions. In a large survey of German firms, I elicit (i) the subjective probability of a severe macroeconomic downturn and (ii) firms’ exposure to such an event.
openaire   +2 more sources

Tail Risk Attribution

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2011
Tail risk refers to the shape of the left tail of the distribution of investment returns. Return distributions are traditionally described in terms of their first for moments: mean return, volatility, skewness and kurtosis. Attribution is a descriptive approach used in portfolio analysis to explain a certain magnitude as the sum of contributions from ...
openaire   +1 more source

Tail Risk Contagion Between International Financial Markets During COVID-19 Pandemic

International Review of Financial Analysis, 2021
Aihua Li, Yanhong Guo
exaly  

Tail Risk, Systemic Risk and Spillover Risk of Crude Oil and Precious Metals

Energy Economics, 2022
Sajid M. Chaudhry, Chonlakan Benjasak
exaly  

Extreme and Inference for Tail Gini Functionals With Applications in Tail Risk Measurement

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2021
Yanxi Hou
exaly  

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