Results 11 to 20 of about 6,316,556 (202)

Multi-Scale Entropy-Gated Deep Quantile Learning via EntropyFusion-VaR: Tail-Risk Forecasting for U.S. Energy-Sector Equities [PDF]

open access: yesEntropy
Forecasting extreme-tail risk in energy equities involves temporal-memory mismatch, quantile crossing, and scarce extreme observations. This study proposes a multi-scale entropy-gated deep quantile learning model, EntropyFusion-VaR.
Adila Osman, Yangxin Wang, Yuanyuan Wang
doaj   +2 more sources

Tail Risk Spillover Between Global Stock Markets Based on Effective Rényi Transfer Entropy and Wavelet Analysis [PDF]

open access: yesEntropy
To examine the spillover of tail-risk information across global stock markets, we select nine major stock markets for the period spanning from June 2014 to May 2024 as the sample data. First, we employ effective Rényi transfer entropy to measure the tail-
Jingjing Jia
doaj   +2 more sources

Will a boom be followed by crash? A new systemic risk measure based on right-tail risk [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2023
In this study, we demonstrate that high short-term gains on the A-share market may lead to significant losses in the future and potentially cause a market catastrophe.
Qing Liu, Mengxia Xu, Jinwu Xiong
doaj   +2 more sources

Tail-Risk-Aware Model Predictive Control for Hypoglycemia Mitigation in Automated Insulin Delivery [PDF]

open access: yesMetabolites
Background: Automated insulin delivery must maintain glycemic control despite partial observability, physiological heterogeneity, and sensing and actuation errors.
Kaiyuan Zhang   +7 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Tail risk connectedness between US industries [PDF]

open access: yes, 2020
We use the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) quantile regression technique to construct and analyse the complete tail risk connectedness network of the whole US industry system. We also investigate the empirical relationship between
Nguyen, LH, Tan, L, Nguyen, LXD
core   +5 more sources

Modelo Computacional Aplicado al Comportamiento de Agentes Financieros Mediante Autómatas Celulares (Cell-DEVS)

open access: yesPensamiento Crítico, 2018
En el presente trabajo se realizará la simulación el efecto de la interdependencia y el contagio en las decisiones de compra y venta de los inversionistasen un mercado financiero de tipo Black-Schole,donde existen dos activos financieros: acciones ...
Jesús Barrantes Limahuaya   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Capital Regulation and Tail Risk [PDF]

open access: yesIMF Working Papers, 2011
The paper studies risk mitigation associated with capital regulation, in a context where banks may choose tail risk asserts. We show that this undermines the traditional result that high capital reduces excess risk-taking driven by limited liability. Moreover, higher capital may have an unintended effect of enabling banks to take more tail risk without
Enrico C. Perotti   +2 more
openaire   +8 more sources

Is tail risk priced in the cross-section of international stock index returns?

open access: yesModern Finance, 2023
This study examines the predictive power of tail risk measures in stock indices returns using a comprehensive dataset covering 50 countries from 1926 to 2021.
Aleksander Mercik
doaj   +1 more source

Systematic Tail Risk

open access: yesJournal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2013
We test for the presence of a systematic tail risk premium in the cross-section of expected returns by applying a measure on the sensitivity of assets to extreme market downturns, the tail beta. Empirically, historical tail betas help to predict the future performance of stocks under extreme market downturns.
Maarten R.C. van Oordt, Chen Zhou
openaire   +1 more source

Tails, Fears, and Risk Premia [PDF]

open access: yesThe Journal of Finance, 2009
ABSTRACTWe show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof, we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index reveals large time‐varying compensation for fears of disasters.
Tim Bollerslev, Viktor Todorov
openaire   +1 more source

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