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The importance of fat-tailed and skewed distributions in modeling value-at-risk
2018Most of the Value-at-Risk models assume that financial returns are normally distributed, despite the fact that they are commonly known to be left skewed, fat-tailed and excess kurtosis. Forecasting Value-at-Risk with misspecified model leads to the underestimation or overestimation of the true Value-at-Risk.
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Value-at-Risk and least squares tail index estimation [PDF]
The empirical evidence of heavy tails in stock return data is recognised by risk managers as an important factor in assessing the Value-at-Risk and risk profile of investment portfolios. Tail index estimation appears to be a tailor-made tool for estimating the extreme quantiles of heavy tailed distributions, as it exploits the information provided by ...
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Tail risk connectedness between US industries
International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2021Linh H Nguyen +2 more
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Tail risk contagion between international financial markets during COVID-19 pandemic
International Review of Financial Analysis, 2021exaly
Tail risk connectedness in the oil-stock nexus: Evidence from a novel quantile spillover approach
Resources Policy, 2021Zhenhua Liu +2 more
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Stock market tail risk, tail risk premia, and return predictability
Journal of Futures Markets, 2021Sangwon Suh, Sun-Joong Yoon
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Extreme and Inference for Tail Gini Functionals With Applications in Tail Risk Measurement
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2021exaly
Extremal dependence structures and bounds of Tail Value-at-Risk
2016In quantitative risk management, we often need to deal with risk aggregation with dependence uncertainty. In this session, we examine several extremal positive and negative dependence structures. We will also discuss their relationships with upper and lower bounds of concave distortion risk measures of aggregate risks.
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