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Forecasting the Volatility of the Cryptocurrency Market by GARCH and Stochastic Volatility [PDF]

open access: yesMathematics, 2021
This study examines the volatility of nine leading cryptocurrencies by market capitalization—Bitcoin, XRP, Ethereum, Bitcoin Cash, Stellar, Litecoin, TRON, Cardano, and IOTA-by using a Bayesian Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and several GARCH models ...
Jong-Min Kim, Chulhee Jun, Junyoup Lee
doaj   +3 more sources

The Role of the Volatility in the Option Market

open access: yesAppliedMath, 2023
We review some general aspects about the Black–Scholes equation, which is used for predicting the fair price of an option inside the stock market. Our analysis includes the symmetry properties of the equation and its solutions.
Ivan Arraut, Ka-I Lei
doaj   +2 more sources

THE VOLATILITY OF THE FINANCIAL MARKET – A QUANTITATIVE APPROACH [PDF]

open access: yesAnnals of the University of Oradea: Economic Science, 2008
During the last years, the financial markets have been subject to significant fluctuations of their financial actives. These spectacular movements have revived the interest, in the academic circles and policy makers and regulation and control authorities
Mester Ioana Teodora
doaj   +1 more source

Adding dummy variables: A simple approach for improved volatility forecasting in electricity market

open access: yesJournal of Management Science and Engineering, 2023
This study used dummy variables to measure the influence of day-of-the-week effects and structural breaks on volatility. Considering day-of-the-week effects, structural breaks, or both, we propose three classes of HAR models to forecast electricity ...
Xu Gong, Boqiang Lin
doaj   +1 more source

"Investor attention fluctuation and stock market volatility: Evidence from China".

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2023
This paper examines the linkage between Chinese stock market volatility and investor attention fluctuation. In Heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model, first, we analyzed the linkage between both decomposed and undecomposed stock market realized ...
Taiji Yang, Siqi Zhuo, Yongsheng Yang
doaj   +1 more source

Central Bank Credibility’s Effect on Stock Exchange Returns’ Volatility: Evidence from OECD Countries

open access: yesEconomies, 2023
Central bank characteristics are important determinants of stock market returns and their volatility. While the literature has examined the effects of transparency and independence, no research has been conducted so far on the effect of central bank ...
Ioannis Dokas   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting volatility of the U.S. oil market [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Banking & Finance, 2014
Abstract We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when forecasting realized volatility in the WTI futures market. Additionally, we study whether other market variables, such as volume, open interest, daily returns, bid-ask spread and the slope of the futures curve, contain predictive power beyond what is ...
Haugom, Erik   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

The Cyclical Volatility of Labor Markets under Frictional Financial Markets [PDF]

open access: yesAmerican Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2010
We provide a dynamic extension of an economy with search on credit and labor markets (Wasmer and Weil 2004). Financial frictions create volatility. They add an additional, almost acyclical, entry cost to procyclical job creation costs, thus increasing the elasticity of labor market tightness to productivity shocks by a factor of five to eight ...
Nicolas Petrovsky-Nadeau, Etienne Wasmer
openaire   +5 more sources

Sobre la volatilidad de la curva de rendimientos del mercado colombiano de deuda pública

open access: yesEcos de Economía, 2018
En este trabajo se estima la volatilidad de la estructura temporal de las tasas de interés (ETTI) del mercado colombiano de deuda pública y se explica su relación con los fundamentales macroeconómicos. A partir del modelo paramétrico propuesto por Nelson
José Miguel Sánchez   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

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