Structural change, catching up and falling behind in the BRICS: A comparative analysis based on trade pattern and Thirlwall’s Law [PDF]
The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) have gradually become more than an acronym as their governments have been engaging in international and political negotiations as if they were a regional economic group.
Andre Nassif +2 more
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Balance of Payments Constraint and Economic Growth: Evidence from the Thirlwall’s Law in Developing Oil Countries (ARDL and Kalman Filter Approach) [PDF]
In the Balance of Payments Constrained Growth (BPCG) model, demand variables such as export and import determine the limit of economic growth in the long run.
Ali Arabmazar Yazdi +3 more
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Structural changes, cointegration and the empirics of Thirlwall's law [PDF]
Thirlwall's law establishes a relation between the long-run growth rate, the growth of exports and the long-run income elasticity of imports. The estimation of this parameter requires cointegration techniques, which in turn require a large span of data, thus exposing the estimates to risks of structural changes.
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The relevance of Thirlwall’s growth law in the Zambian economy
AbstractThis paper uses a blended methodology—conventional tests of ‘Thirlwall's law’ combined with an in‐depth growth narrative approach and unit root tests—to identify the dominant balance‐of‐payments adjustment mechanism in the Zambian economy over the period 1956–2017. Consistent with Thirlwall's growth law, the main results identify income changes
Lewis Chimfwembe, Kevin S. Nell
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Structural changes and economic growth in the world economy and Russia [PDF]
The article considers the problem of the relationship of structural changes and economic growth in the global economy and Russia in the framework of different methodological approaches. At the same time, the paper provides the analysis of complementarity
Valeriy V. Mironov +1 more
doaj +3 more sources
The article aims to analyze the external and internal growth factors of the People’s Republic of China in 2010–2017. The authors use methods such as input-output modeling, statistical methods, content analysis of scientific publications.
A. A. Bykov +3 more
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Balance of payment constrained economic growth in Nigeria: How useful is the Thirlwall's hypothesis?
This paper examines the Balance-of-Payment (BOP) constraint growth model in Nigeria for the period of 1980 to 2012 using the bounds testing Auto regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. The ARDL test suggests that the variables in the framework have a
Ismail O. Fasanya, Ismail A. Olayemi
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Criticisms and defences of the balance-of-payments constrained growth model: some old, some new
This paper assesses various critiques that have been levelled over the years against Thirlwall’s Law and the balance-of-payments constrained growth model.
John S.L. McCombie
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In a recent article A.P. Thirlwall derived what he termed a “fundamental law” which he argued explains the disparate post-war growth rates of advanced countries.
J.S.L. MCCOMBIE
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Balance-constrained growth rates: generalizing Thirlwall’s law [PDF]
In this article, we show how the concept of balance of payments-constrained growth rate developed by Thirlwall (1979) can be generalized as the growth rate constrained by the balance between any two economic variables. In particular, we derive two new concepts: the government balance-constrained growth rate and the private balance-constrained growth ...
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