Results 51 to 60 of about 24,422 (290)
Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley +1 more source
Communications Earth & EnvironmentSequential tropical cyclone events, in which two tropical cyclones make landfall in the same region within a short time, are becoming increasingly likely. Here we investigate community preparedness for six sequential tropical cyclone events in the United
Tianle Duan +4 more
doaj +1 more source
CYCLONE STABILITY PARAMETER: ITS NUMERICAL VALUE AND SIGNIFICANCE IN THE PERSPECTIVE OF TRACK DETERMINATION [PDF]
Journal of Mechanics of Continua and Mathematical SciencesThe study of the dynamics of tropical cyclones constitutes a major portion of the curriculum for atmospheric science throughout the world. This is due to its enormous significance on the coastal human civilization all over the world.
Indrajit Ghosh +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.This study investigates year‐round exceptionally poor and good day‐6 forecasts of the 500‐hPa geopotential height field over Europe using 45 years of ERA5 reforecasts and applies a weather regime perspective to analyse large‐scale pattern evolution and regime transitions.
Seraphine Hauser +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Corrigendum: Possible reasons for the migration of tropical cyclone track over the western north pacific: Interdecadal pacific oscillation modulation [PDF]
, 2023 Shuo Lv +3 more
openalex +1 more source
Probability forecasts – Part 1: ensembles and probabilistic forecasts
Weather, EarlyView.Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. Ensembles offer greater predictive skill and information content than deterministic forecasts but are more complex to interpret and ...
Ken Mylne
wiley +1 more source
Scientific ReportsOver 30,000 hazardous material pipeline (HMP) failures have caused nearly $11 billion in damages since 1970. Tropical cyclones, which cause more infrastructure damage than all other forms of natural disasters combined, are thought to be under-attributed ...
Elizabeth Carter, Marilyn Smith
doaj +1 more source
Recent Studies on Changes in Track and Convection Associated with Tropical Cyclone Landfall
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 2012 : As a tropical cyclone makes landfall, changes in friction and moisture as well as the presence of topography will modify the flow and subsequently the convection associated with the tropical cyclone. As a result, the distribution of potential vorticity
Johnny C.L. Chan
doaj +1 more source
Effects of Tropical Cyclone Passage on Plankton Community Respiration in a Phosphate-Limited Freshwater Ecosystem. [PDF]
, 2023 Erica Silk P. dela Paz +4 more
openalex +1 more source
Extreme rainfall in Madeira: the June 2023 weather event
Weather, EarlyView.This study investigates the meteorological conditions behind the extreme precipitation event on 6 June 2023 over Madeira Island, Portugal. The event set a national daily record of 497.5mm and was unusual for occurring in early summer, as most extremes in the region occur in winter.
Tiago M. Ferreira +5 more
wiley +1 more source