Windows of opportunity in subseasonal weather regime forecasting: A statistical–dynamical approach
This study explores how the atmospheric state at initialisation creates windows of opportunity for improving week 3 forecasts of weather regime activity. Greenland blocking activity increases following Madden–Julian Oscillation phases 7, 8, and 1 and weak stratospheric polar vortex states, revealing patterns exploitable by statistical models.
Fabian Mockert +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Effect of Changing Climatic Conditions on Properties of Wood Textile Composites. [PDF]
von Boyneburgk CL, Heim HP.
europepmc +1 more source
Impact of small‐scale gravity waves on tracer transport
We extend a gravity wave (GW) parametrization to calculate the tracer transport due to the GW–Stokes drift and next‐order effects, where the approach is validated by comparing coarse‐resolution simulations with parametrized GWs to high‐resolution, wave‐resolving reference simulations.
Irmgard Knop +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A pilot variational coupled reanalysis based on the CESAM climate model
Variational data assimilation of in‐situ and satellite ocean data and reanalysis atmospheric data into an intermediate complexity Earth system model is possible by adjusting the surface fluxes and internal model parameters. This pilot application requires nearly complete information on the atmospheric state for synchronization.
Armin Köhl +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Loss of vegetation functions during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum. [PDF]
Rogger J +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
The role of soil moisture in the inland penetration of Indian monsoon low‐pressure systems
We use the Advanced Weather Research and Forecasting model to examine the role of soil moisture in the inland penetration of Indian monsoon low‐pressure systems (LPSs). We find that LPSs penetrate deeply into India despite a dry land surface; however, their inland penetration is adversely affected when there is a reduction in the total surface heat ...
Akshay Deoras +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Changes in continental weathering regimes inhibited global marine deoxygenation during the Paleocene-Eocene thermal maximum. [PDF]
Wei GY +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
European and global Mode‐S aircraft reports have been assimilated into the Met Office global deterministic numerical weather prediction model, improving forecast accuracy for wind, temperature, and geopotential height. This is the first time global Mode‐S network data have been assimilated, which include data from under‐observed regions, and has ...
Elliott Warren +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Limited long-term cooling effects of Pangaean flood basalt weathering. [PDF]
Longman J, Mills BJW, Merdith AS.
europepmc +1 more source
Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill
Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley +1 more source

