Results 121 to 130 of about 757,744 (296)

Nonlinear Autoregresssive Leading Indicator Models of Output in G-7 Countries [PDF]

open access: yes
This paper studies linear and nonlinear autoregressive leading indicator models of business cycles in G7 countries. The models use the spread between short-term and long-term interest rates as leading indicators for GDP, and their success in capturing ...
Farshid Vahid   +2 more
core  

‘I Don't Want Another Five Years of “The Only Thing We Talk About Is Brexit”’: The Dynamics of EU (De)politicisation in Post‐Brexit Britain

open access: yesJCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, EarlyView.
Abstract The 2016 Brexit referendum was a watershed moment for the politicisation of the European Union (EU) in the United Kingdom. Much has been written about the politicising effects of the referendum, along with the Leave result's subsequent contestation in the media as well as in national and European election cycles.
Anne‐Marie Houde, Louis Stockwell
wiley   +1 more source

Short-run dynamics of income disparities and regional cycle synchronization [PDF]

open access: yes
Since the 1990s, the issue of regional income convergence and its long term tendencies has been thoroughly and heatedly discussed. Far less attention, however, has been devoted to the short-run dynamics of regional convergence.
Hasan Engin Duran
core  

Monetary Policy and Government Debt

open access: yesJournal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.
Abstract We study how the level of government debt affects the effectiveness of monetary policy, that is, the elasticity of economic aggregates to interest rate changes. We build a New Keynesian model where fiscal policy is non‐Ricardian and government debt is risk‐free.
NICOLAS CARAMP, ETHAN FEILICH
wiley   +1 more source

Detecting and forecasting business cycle turning points [PDF]

open access: yes
The R word has begun to appear in the media again bringing with it three technical questions viz, How will we know we are in recession? How will we know when it has ended? And How can we forecast its onset and ending?
Harding, Don
core   +1 more source

Hampered Monetary Policy Transmission ‐ A Supply‐Side Story?

open access: yesJournal of Money, Credit and Banking, EarlyView.
Abstract This paper shows that the supply side of credit is a major factor for hampered monetary policy transmission in monopolistic banking markets. Our stress test data containing projected interest rates of all 1,555 small and medium‐sized banks in Germany under two hypothetical scenarios provide a clear way to partial out demand shocks that are ...
LOTTA HECKMANN‐DRAISBACH, JULIA HARDT
wiley   +1 more source

Techno-economic Comparison Between the Parabolic Trough Collector and a Novel Rotatory Fresnel Collector

open access: yesProceedings of 30th Conference on Concentrating Solar Power and Chemical Energy Systems
The SunDial is an advanced rotary Fresnel concentrator designed to offer cost-effective industrial heat at medium temperatures in low and high latitudes [1]. There are two designs for the SunDial: one with two tracking axes suitable for high latitudes (SunDial-HL), and the other, designed for low latitudes, incorporates only azimuthal tracking (SunDial-
BARNETCHE, Magdalena   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Bank Monitoring with On‐Site Inspections

open access: yesThe Journal of Finance, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Using proprietary transaction‐level data on nonsyndicated construction loans, we provide some of the first empirical evidence on the drivers and consequences of bank monitoring through on‐site inspections. Banks trade off monitoring intensity with favorable origination terms.
Amanda Rae Heitz   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Dating the Turning Points of Nordic Business Cycles. [PDF]

open access: yes
When were the significant turning points in business activity in the Nordic countries during the last fourty years? How frequent, long, and sharp were the contractions? This paper provides answers to these questions by applying the Bry and Boschan (1971)
Peter F. Christoffersen
core  

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