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FURTHER ANALYSIS OF THE TWIN DEFICITS
Contemporary Economic Policy, 1992In a 1989 Contemporary Policy Issues article Miller and Russek published findings of a causal relation between the fiscal deficit and the trade deficit. However, they found no overwhelming support for reverse causation between the twin deficits. The authors of the analysis here gathered annual data on U.S.
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1992
My message in this chapter is that deficits can be good for you. In fact, deficits can be too large, and they can be too small. But we cannot tell which until we know how to measure them. And most people talking about deficits really have no notion how they are measured. The fact is that the way we do measure them has very uncertain economic relevance,
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My message in this chapter is that deficits can be good for you. In fact, deficits can be too large, and they can be too small. But we cannot tell which until we know how to measure them. And most people talking about deficits really have no notion how they are measured. The fact is that the way we do measure them has very uncertain economic relevance,
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Twin deficits, twenty years later [PDF]
, 2006 Recent declines in the U.S. current account and fiscal balances have sparked renewed debate over the twin-deficit hypothesis, which argues that a larger fiscal deficit, through its effect on national saving, leads to an expanded current account deficit. This study reviews international evidence on the hypothesis, finding some support for it.
Leonardo Bartolini, Amartya Lahiri
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ARE THE TWIN DEFICITS REALLY RELATED?
Contemporary Economic Policy, 1989The emergence of record current‐account and fiscal deficits in the United States during the 1980s draws increasing attention to what has become known as the “twin deficit” problem. Conventional wisdom is that a shift to larger government deficits entails a decline in government saving and results in larger trade deficits, Persistently large trade ...
STEPHEN M. MILLER, FRANK S. RUSSEK
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The twin deficit hypothesis in Greece
2020We examine the relationship between the current account deficit and the general government deficit in Greece.Furthermore, we check the validity of the twin deficit hypothesis using annual time series data for the 1970-2019 periods.In this work we accept the twin deficit hypothesis which means that there is a positive relationship between the current ...
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Widening Twin Deficits in the Subzones
2021The two CFA subregions have experienced current account and fiscal deficits in recent years, mostly linked to adverse terms-of-trade shocks. These have been amplified in the wake of the pandemic.
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Rethinking the Twin Deficits [PDF]
, 2014 This article reexamines the thesis that fiscal deficits cause trade deficits and challenges this explanation of the twin deficits with the following propositions. Differences in competitiveness among nations do not lead to balanced trade. Using a Eurozone case study, the article discusses the nexus between competitiveness and the trade balance ...
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Brazil's twin deficits: An empirical examination
Atlantic Economic Journal, 1998This paper examines empirically the causal relationship between budget deficits and trade deficits for Brazil from 1973:1Q through 1991:4Q. This relationship is investigated in the context of Granger's test of causality. The final prediction error criterion, as outlined by Hsiao [1981], is applied in determining the appropriate lag length of the two ...
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Twin Deficits in the European Countries
International Advances in Economic Research, 2013Public debt is a burden on future electors and taxpayers. In the absence of constitutional constraints, the incumbent government may show the cost of some public expenditures or tax reductions toward the future by financing them via new debt. However, according to the Ricardian theorem of public debt, the burden of debt is always anticipated via ...
FORTE F, MAGAZZINO, COSIMO
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"Twin Deficits and Sustainability" [PDF]
, 2006 In the mid to late 1980s, the U.S. economy simultaneously producedÑfor the first time in the postwar periodÑhuge federal budget deficits as well as large current account deficits, together known as the Òtwin deficitsÓ (Blecker 1992; Rock1991). This generated much debate and hand-wringing, most of which focused on supposed Òcrowding-outÓ effects (Wray ...
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