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Revisiting the twin deficits hypothesis in the United States: Further evidence based on system-equation ADL test for threshold cointegration

The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2023
We revisit the twin deficits hypothesis (budget and trade deficits) for the United States during 1791–2019, using the system-equation ADL test for threshold cointegration proposed by Li (2017).
T. Chang   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Twin deficits hypothesis in Bangladesh: an empirical investigation

, 2021
PurposeThis study attempts to examine the twin deficits hypothesis for Bangladesh. Along with the traditional twin deficits hypothesis associated with the current account and fiscal deficit, the paper also explores the causal relationship between the ...
S. Dey, M. Tareque
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Budget deficit persistence and the twin deficits hypothesis [PDF]

open access: possibleJournal of International Economics, 1999
Abstract This paper gauges the twin deficits hypothesis, i.e. a positive causal relationship between the external and budget deficits. This relationship is measured by the responses of the external deficit to changes in the budget deficit induced by Blanchard's model.
openaire   +2 more sources

The US “Twin Deficits”: A Reappraisal [PDF]

open access: possibleRecherches économiques de Louvain, 1999
RésuméUne importante littérature empirique a analysé, depuis le milieu des années 80, la relation entre les déficits budgétaires et commerciaux des Etats-Unis, sans jamais atteindre un consensus. Deux éléments peu-vent être pris en compte pour expliquer ces résultats contradictoires.
openaire   +1 more source

Twin Deficits: Apparition or Reality?

Applied Economics, 2002
This paper uses cointegration and multicointegration analysis to explore the issue of twin deficits for the USA in the post-World War II period. The results suggest that prior to 1974 the systems of fiscal and foreign sector variables exhibit multicointegration.
Lori L. Leachman, Bill Francis
openaire   +1 more source

Beyond Twin Deficits

The American Journal of Economics and Sociology, 1999
Abstract This paper outlines new developments in the sociology of money. It highlights certain aspects of Post Keynesian monetarism and explores Keynesian concepts of emotions relative to economics and economic sociology. Gunnar Myrdal's work on time and money contributes to the discussion.
openaire   +1 more source

Does Korea have twin deficits?

Applied Economics Letters, 2006
Using the modified Wald test suggested by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), the study examines whether higher budget deficits lead to greater current account deficits in Korea. This test allows one not only to examine the general validity of twin deficits hypotheses, but also to predict future Korean external balance positions.
Chul-Hwan Kim, Donggeun Kim
openaire   +1 more source

FURTHER ANALYSIS OF THE TWIN DEFICITS

Contemporary Economic Policy, 1992
In a 1989 Contemporary Policy Issues article Miller and Russek published findings of a causal relation between the fiscal deficit and the trade deficit. However, they found no overwhelming support for reverse causation between the twin deficits. The authors of the analysis here gathered annual data on U.S.
BASUDEB BISWAS   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

The Twin Deficits

1992
My message in this chapter is that deficits can be good for you. In fact, deficits can be too large, and they can be too small. But we cannot tell which until we know how to measure them. And most people talking about deficits really have no notion how they are measured. The fact is that the way we do measure them has very uncertain economic relevance,
openaire   +1 more source

Twin deficits, twenty years later [PDF]

open access: possible, 2006
Recent declines in the U.S. current account and fiscal balances have sparked renewed debate over the twin-deficit hypothesis, which argues that a larger fiscal deficit, through its effect on national saving, leads to an expanded current account deficit. This study reviews international evidence on the hypothesis, finding some support for it.
Leonardo Bartolini, Amartya Lahiri
openaire  

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