Results 111 to 120 of about 114,366 (291)

The ISCIP Analyst, Volume IV, Issue 7 [PDF]

, 1999
This repository item contains a single issue of The ISCIP Analyst, an analytical review journal published from 1996 to 2010 by the Boston University Institute for the Study of Conflict, Ideology, and ...
Cavan, Susan, Drummond, LCDR Fred, Lanskoy, Miriam, Lynch, Tammy, McDonough, John, Miller, Sarah, Reardon, Michael, Shepherd, Monika, Thurman, Lt. Col. Michael   +8 more
core   +2 more sources

Identifying Drivers of Deviations From Rational Expectations: Using a New Irrational Index for Inflation Forecasts

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley   +1 more source

The ISCIP Analyst, Volume XII, Issue 4 [PDF]

, 2006
This repository item contains a single issue of The ISCIP Analyst, an analytical review journal published from 1996 to 2010 by the Boston University Institute for the Study of Conflict, Ideology, and ...
Adami, Fabian, Angley, Robyn, Butler, Jeffrey, Cavan, Susan, Kafer, John, LeBlanc, Marcel, Lynch, Tammy, Martin, Kate, Payne, Marisa   +8 more
core  

Exploring the Nexus Between Sustainability Index and Central European Stock Markets Competitiveness: Evidence Through Time–Frequency Analysis and SHAP

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková, Dipak Kumar Jana, Michal Páleš, Elena Fleaca, Petr Dostál   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Perception of Germany in the Kyivan Press: From Ukrainian People’s Republic to the Hetmanate (November 1917 — December 1918) [PDF]

, 2017
The 1917 February Revolution led to the reshaping of the war-era image of the German enemy. Focusing on the former imperial borderland province of the Southwestern Krai, this article unveils the national, political, and cultural considerations of the ...
Basenko, Ivan
core  

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos, Thierry Betti, Theophilos Papadimitriou, Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard, Periklis Gogas   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Causality Between Brent and West Texas Intermediate: The Effects of COVID-19 Pandemic and Russia–Ukraine War

Commodities
The article analyzes the Granger-based causal relationship between two major crude oil markets, namely Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI), by using the standard vector autoregression (VAR) framework.
Salim Lahmiri
doaj   +1 more source

Parting with Illusions: Developing a Realistic Approach to Relations with Russia [PDF]

, 2008
A review of America's post-Soviet strategy toward Russia is long overdue. The illusions that once guided policy are now at an end. What is needed is a dispassionate approach to Russia, wherein Americans would neither magnify nor excuse the virtues and ...
Nikolas Gvosdev
core  

Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums

Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley   +1 more source

The Theories of war in practice: possible outcomes and means for the termination of war. Case study: Russian war against Ukraine

Social Development & Security
Purpose: is to anticipate the termination of the Russia-Ukraine war considering the underlying causes on the basis of main war termination theories. Method: comparative analysis, and synthesis.
Khayal Iskandarov, Piotr Gawliczek, Vagif Dadashzade   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source