Results 151 to 160 of about 1,399,110 (335)
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley +1 more source
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Protestants and the Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church: In Search of Inclusive Solutions
, 2018 Post-Soviet Protestants, having gotten used to living in coexistence with an atheistic society over the course of 70 years, have discovered something new in the years since Ukraine gained independence—Orthodox tradition.
Cherenkov, Mykhailo
core
Oil Futures Prices, Inflation Expectations, and Bond Risk Premiums
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT By decomposing West Texas Intermediate futures price changes into structural supply and demand shocks, this paper shows that dissecting the oil price significantly improves inflation forecasts. Empirically, demand‐driven shocks predict a negative real bond risk premium but a positive inflation risk premium; these opposing effects result in an ...
Haibo Jiang
wiley +1 more source
On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
From 'aidland' to 'homeland': what the lived experiences of Ukrainian crisis leaders indicate about humanitarian response. [PDF]
DisastersKelly M, Pardy M, Downing DP.
europepmc +1 more source
Why Do Hedgers Hedge? The Role of Ambiguity
Journal of Futures Markets, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether ambiguity influences hedging behavior in commodity futures markets. Using high‐frequency crude oil futures data, distinct measures of risk and ambiguity are linked to weekly hedging positions from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Fiona Höllmann
wiley +1 more source
How COVID-19 pandemic and Ukrainian crisis shaped mental health services for medical students in Poland? [PDF]
BMC Med EducGuziak M, Walkiewicz M.
europepmc +1 more source
Unlocking the Future of Insurance: The Power of Open Data, Digital Transformation, and Human Talent
Human Resource Development Quarterly, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Despite rapid technological advancement in insurance, there remains a critical gap in understanding how open data initiatives affect employee digital competencies and organizational transformation. This research investigates this relationship through a systematic review of 51 scholarly articles published between 2018 and 2024, using structured
Narongsak Sukma, Siriporn Yamnill
wiley +1 more source