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Uncertainty about Trade Policy Uncertainty [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2020 We revisit in this note the macroeconomic impact of the recent rise in trade policy uncertainty. As in the literature, we do find that high trade policy uncertainty can adversely impact domestic and foreign economic activity. In addition, we identify an alternative business sentiment channel that is separate and distinct from the impact of trade policy
Benigno, Gianluca, Groen, Jan J. J.
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The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2014 Abstract We develop a theory of endogenous uncertainty and business cycles in which short-lived shocks can generate long-lasting recessions. In the model, higher uncertainty about fundamentals discourages investment. Since agents learn from the actions of others, information flows slowly in times of low activity and uncertainty remains ...
Pablo Fajgelbaum +2 more
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IEEE Control Systems, 2021 zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Yongxin Chen +2 more
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The Annals of Occupational Hygiene, 2008 The reporting of measurement uncertainty has recently undergone a major harmonization whereby characteristics of a measurement method obtained during establishment and application are combined componentwise. For example, the sometimes-pesky systematic error is included.
David, Bartley, Göran, Lidén
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PLOS Biology, 2019 The number of the distinct tactile percepts exceeds the number of receptor types in the skin, signifying that perception cannot be explained by a one-to-one mapping from a single receptor channel to a corresponding percept. The abundance of touch experiences results from multiplexing (the coexistence of multiple codes within a single channel ...
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SSRN Electronic Journal, 2019 Abstract This article documents the economic relevance of measuring cognitive uncertainty: people’s subjective uncertainty over their ex ante utility-maximizing decision. In a series of experiments on choice under risk, the formation of beliefs, and forecasts of economic variables, we show that cognitive uncertainty predicts various ...
Enke, Benjamin, Graeber, Thomas
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology, 1974 Summary Intuitive judgments of probability are based on a limited number of heuristics that are usually effective but sometimes lead to severe and systematic errors. Research shows, for example, that people judge the probability of a hypothesis by the degree to which it represents the evidence, with little or no regard for its prior ...
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, 2016 Focusing on the lived experience of immigration policy and processes, this volume provides fascinating insights into the deportation process as it is felt and understood by those subjected to it. The author presents a rich and innovative ethnography of deportation and deportability experienced by migrants convicted of criminal offenses in England and ...
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