Forecasting Natural Gas Prices in Real Time
ABSTRACT This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the forecastability of the real price of natural gas in the United States at the monthly frequency considering a universe of models that differ in complexity and economic content. We find that considerable reductions in mean‐squared prediction error relative to a no‐change benchmark can be ...
Christiane Baumeister +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Heterogenous long-term health and social outcomes of type 1 diabetes: a full population 30-year observational cohort study. [PDF]
Hiilamo A +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Integrated Analysis of Regional and National Unemployment Differentials in the European Union
Annette Zeilstra, J. Paul Elhorst
openalex +2 more sources
The PCDID Approach to Treatment Effects Estimation: A Further Investigation
ABSTRACT In the present paper, we study the so‐called “PCDID” approach to treatment effects estimation in panels with interactive effects where the factors represent trends whose effect need not be parallel across the cross‐sectional units. Our interest in this step‐wise approach originates with the observation that the interactive effects are ignored ...
Tilman Bretschneider, Joakim Westerlund
wiley +1 more source
Unmet need for healthcare services among unemployed people - findings from a national survey in Finland. [PDF]
Rinne H +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling With Hemisphere Neural Networks
ABSTRACT We revisit maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for macroeconomic density forecasting through a novel neural network architecture with dedicated mean and variance hemispheres. Our architecture features several key ingredients making MLE work in this context.
Philippe Goulet Coulombe +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A Randomised Controlled Trial of IPS in Severe Mental Disorders: Mental Health, Functional, and Vocational Outcomes in a High-Unemployment Setting. [PDF]
Rodríguez Pulido F +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Unemployment Hysteresis and Natural Rate Hypotheses Testing for E7 Countries
Tuğba Konuk, Ayşe Eryer, Tuğrul Avcı
openalex +1 more source
Differences in patterns of attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder medication use in US children
Abstract Background Understanding attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) medication patterns is crucial for optimizing treatment outcomes. There are limited data on racial, ethnic, gender and socioeconomic treatment differences across longitudinal national samples.
Jennie E. Ryan +4 more
wiley +1 more source

