Results 201 to 210 of about 1,103,942 (315)

The Economic Costs of Congenital Hearing Loss in a South African Cohort. [PDF]

Health Serv Insights
Tombe-Mdewa W, Storbeck C, Young A, Moolla A, Goldstein S, Thsehla E.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

Joint models targeting U.S. Army soldiers at high-risk of post-separation unemployment, homelessness, and suicide-related behaviors. [PDF]

Npj Ment Health Res
Borowski S, Edwards ER, Geraci JC, Gildea SM, Hwang I, Kennedy CJ, Liu H, Luedtke A, Sampson NA, Benedek DM, Capaldi VF, Naifeh JA, Nock MK, Wagner J, Stein MB, Ursano RJ, Kessler RC.   +16 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos, Thierry Betti, Theophilos Papadimitriou, Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard, Periklis Gogas   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

20-Year labor market histories of 66-year-old women and men: a nationwide retrospective cohort study from Sweden. [PDF]

Eur J Public Health
Gémes K, Martikainen A, Farrants K, Alexanderson K, Bergström J, Mittendorfer-Rutz E, Virtanen M.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

DSGE Model Forecasting: Rational Expectations Versus Adaptive Learning

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper compares within‐sample and out‐of‐sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets, and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real‐time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4.
Anders Warne
wiley   +1 more source

Potential impacts of adult growth hormone deficiency: a population-based study in England. [PDF]

BMJ Open
Criseno S, Gayton E, Araghi M, Machtiger-Azoulay N, Toogood A.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Forecasting With Dynamic Factor Models Estimated by Partial Least Squares

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Dynamic factor models (DFMs) have found great success in nowcasting and short‐term macroeconomic forecasting when incorporating large sets of predictive information. The factor loadings are typically estimated cross‐sectionally with principal component analysis (PCA) or maximum likelihood (ML), which ignore whether the factors have predictive ...
Samuel Rauhala
wiley   +1 more source

Does road safety cointegrate with socio-economic conditions in rich developing countries? [PDF]

PLoS One
Alfaki IA, Grivna M, El Sadig M.
europepmc   +1 more source

Point and Risk estImation Using an enSemble of Models for Nowcasting: PRISM‐Now

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We propose PRISM‐Now, a novel ensemble forecasting system for near‐term GDP projection. Recognizing that relevant economic information evolves over time, we treat forecasts from multiple base models as draws from a mixture distribution of “good” and “bad” estimates, whose composition changes continuously and cannot be identified ex ante.
Beomseok Seo, Hyungbae Cho, Dongjae Lee
wiley   +1 more source