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Forecasting the US unemployment rate

Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2003
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Unemployment-Rate Dynamics and Persistent Unemployment Under Rational Expectations [PDF]

American Economic Review, 1985
This paper develops a model of unemployment rate dynamics that provides an explanation of persistent cyclical unemployment that does not involve persistent expectational errors or other nonoptimizing behavior. Our results are based on the interaction of search dynamics and inventory adjustments.
Darby, Michael R, Haltiwanger, John C, Plant, Mark W   +2 more
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Exact Unemployment Rate Indices

Contemporary Economic Policy, 2003
Conventional unemployment rate measures tend to overestimate the degree of labor underutilization if unemployment disproportionately affects less educated and generally less productive workers. Based on index number theory as well as on econometric techniques, this article proposes a number of alternative measures that are exact for specific labor ...
Michael J. Greenwood, Ulrich Kohli
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Unemployment Rate

2019
Analysis of unemployment ...
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Renewable energy sources and unemployment rate: Evidence from the US states

Energy Policy, 2022
B. Saboori, Hassan F. Gholipour, E. Rasoulinezhad, O. Ranjbar   +3 more
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Unemployment rates graphs

2019
Test to publish content on ...
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Forecasting Asymmetric Unemployment Rates

SSRN Electronic Journal, 1997
Asymmetric behavior has been documented in post-war quarterly U.S. unemployment rates. This suggests that improvement over conventional linear forecasts may be possible through use of nonlinear time series models. In this paper an out-of-sample forecasting competition is carried out for a set of leading nonlinear time series models.
Philip Rothman, James H. Stock
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The effects of population aging, life expectancy, unemployment rate, population density, per capita GDP, urbanization on per capita carbon emissions

, 2021
Qiang Wang, Lejia Li
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Whither Singapore's Unemployment Rate?

2015
In the period 1990-1999, Singapore's average annual real GDP growth was 7.3% with a coefficient of variation, which is a measure of dispersion of growth around its mean, of 0.49. The average annual total unemployment rate during this period was 1.9%.
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Unemployment Rate and Divorce*

Economic Record, 2011
This study investigates whether shifts in the unemployment rate affect the separation probability of married and cohabiting couples. Compared to the match quality shocks utilised in the existing literature, unemployment rate movements are plausibly exogenous and affect individuals through both actual as well as potential loss of a job.
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