Results 11 to 20 of about 2,865,465 (299)
Unobserved common factors in military expenditure interactions across MENA countries [PDF]
In this paper we explore the patterns of interactions between military expenditure shares in the MENA region over the period 1979-2007. We explore if there are latent common factors that impact on the military expenditures of 15 countries in the MENA ...
Cavatorta, Elisa
core +8 more sources
A Simultaneous Unobserved Components Analysis of US Output and the Great Moderation [PDF]
In an unobserved components framework of US output trend and cycle, this paper seeks to determine the causal interaction between permanent and transitory innovations.
Weber, Enzo
core +1 more source
Economic Growth, Business Cycles and Okun’s Law: Unobserved Components Approach [PDF]
Clark’s (1989) bivariate unobserved components model is applied in order to estimate and analyse the trend and cycle of GDP and the unemployment rate as well as to quantify and discuss the relationship known as Okun’s law. Empirical analysis is performed
Andrea Čížků
doaj
Modelling the Phillips curve with unobserved components [PDF]
The relationship between inflation and the output gap can be modelled simply and effectively by including an unobserved random walk component in the model. The dynamic properties match the stylized facts and the random walk component satisfies the properties normally required for core inflation.
openaire +2 more sources
Maximum likelihood estimates of some probability model of discrete distributions
In this work the new multivariate discrete probability model of distribution of random sums with unobserved components is proposed.The maximum likelihood estimates for this model are determined in the case that all the elements of the sample ...
A. Iskakova, G. Zhaxybayeva
doaj +1 more source
Signal extraction and the formulation of unobserved components models [PDF]
Summary: This paper looks at unobserved components models and examines the implied weighting patterns for signal extraction. There are four main themes. The first concerns the implications of correlated disturbances driving the components, especially those cases in which the correlation is perfect.
Harvey, A.C., Koopman, S.J.M.
openaire +7 more sources
On Finite and Non-Finite Bayesian Mixture Models
In this paper, a Bayesian paradigm of a mixture model with finite and non-finite components is expounded for a generic prior and likelihood that can be of any distributional random noise.
Sodiq Adejare Olanrewaju +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Testing for hysteresis in unemployment an unobserved components approach [PDF]
We suggest a new test for hysteresis in unemployment based on an unobserved components model. Observed unemployment rates are decomposed into a natural rate component and a cyclical component. The impact of lagged cyclical shocks on the current natural component is the measure of hysteresis.
Albert Jaeger, Martin Parkinson
openaire +1 more source
The demand for ‘active travel’: An unobserved components approach [PDF]
This study informs the interface of travel demand analysis and health policy. There is a demand for cycling, walking or taking non-motorized modes together – a demand for ‘active travel’ – a term describing modes of transport which incur significant cardiovascular effort or metabolic costs.
Broadstock, David C., Collins, Alan
openaire +3 more sources
An analysis of land prices: A structural time‐series approach
This paper analyses spatio‐temporal variation of land prices in two single localities by means of structural time series modelling formalism that combines the flexibility of a time series model with that of the interpretation of a regression analysis ...
Marko Hannonen
doaj +1 more source

