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From VAR models to Structural VAR models

1997
In this chapter we introduce the philosophy, the basic concepts and definitions of VAR analysis (sections 1.1 and 1.2). After that, in section 1.3 we discuss the problems of VAR estimation and in section 1.4 we describe the possible uses of VAR models. Then in section 1.5 we start dealing with Structural VAR analysis, pointing out the main features of ...
Gianni Amisano, Carlo Giannini
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An Evaluation Framework for Alternative VAR Models

Journal of International Money and Finance, 2002
In this paper we investigate the ability of different models to produce useful VaR-estimates for exchange rate positions. We make a distinction between models that include sophisticated tail properties and models that do not. The former type of models often leads to too extreme VaR-estimates, whereas the latter type underestimates the risk in case of ...
Christian C. P. Wolff   +2 more
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Estimation of VAR Models Computational Aspects

Computational Economics, 2003
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Foschi, P., Kontoghiorghes, E. J.
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A comparison of GARCH models for VaR estimation

Expert Systems with Applications, 2010
This study is an attempt to compare a comprehensive list of GARCH models in quantifying risks of VaR under stress times. We gather data of stock market indices from both emerging (Brazil and Turkey) and developed (Germany and the USA) markets, over the period of global financial crisis and make use of numerous GARCH specifications to return VaR values.
Mehmet Orhan, Bülent Köksal
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Structural VAR models in the Frequency Domain

Journal of Econometrics, 2023
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Guay, Alain, Pelgrin, Florian
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Fat-tails in VAR models [PDF]

open access: possible, 2014
We confirm that standard time-series models for US output growth, inflation, interest rates and stock market returns feature non-Gaussian error structure. We build a 4-variable VAR model where the orthogonolised shocks have a Student t-distribution with a time-varying variance.
Ching-Wai (Jeremy) Chiu   +2 more
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A Robust VAR Model

2005
This paper analyses several volatility models by examining their ability to forecast the Value-at-Risk (VaR) for two different time periods and two capitalization weighting schemes. Specifically, VaR is calculated for large and small capitalization stocks, based on Dow Jones (DJ) Euro Stoxx indices and is modeled for long and short trading positions by
Timotheos Angelidis   +2 more
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Credit VaR Model

2023
Credit value at risk (VaR) is used for measuring and analyzing credit risk of a portfolio. The basic methodology of the Credit VaR employs the credit migration approach spearheaded by RiskMetrics. It assumes that obligor's credit quality is determined by the obligor's asset value, which in turn is approximated by its standardized equity return.
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Model Reduction in VAR Models

2004
In this chapter we discuss alternative model reduction strategies for the specification of subset VAR models. Before we present a number of subset modeling procedures in Section 2.2, we start by introducing the basics of the VAR modeling framework in Section 2.1.
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A Sequential Modelling of the VaR

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2009
We consider the VaR associated with the global loss generated by a set risk sources. We propose a sequence of simple models incorporating progressively the notions of contagion due to instantaneous correlations, of serial correlation, of evolution of the instantaneous correlations, of volatility clustering, of conditional heteroskedasticity and of ...
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